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Strategies & Market Trends : CFZ E-Wiggle Workspace

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To: Perspective who wrote (9090)10/24/2008 3:47:43 PM
From: skinowski  Read Replies (1) of 41420
 
Carefree... don't know what bit me.. -g

If a time comes when you really think it's the low of the Big 3 - I think it's worth hedging, and properly. It may turn out to be an energetic rally, and it may last a long time.

Another issue is that things are not always what they seem to be. There is no way to be sure that the structure starting last October wasn't a big ABC-X-ABC, with X topping in May. In that case we would be due for what may be a very substantial Wave B up. May last a year without a problem.

Agree that this is not the most likely scenario. But who knows. I have a feeling that this particular Bear may find a way to go on longer than 1 1/2 - 2 years.

As for hedging vehicles, the biggest bang for the buck is futures, like ES or NQ. Other than that, I came to like the double inverse ETF's. They are liquid, and trade pretty cleanly. Another safe-ish (but limited) strategy could be writing covered puts against the shorts... maybe even keep writing them all the way up. And when eventually you'll start getting filled, perhaps that will be the time to sell twice... -g
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