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Strategies & Market Trends
CFZ E-Wiggle Workspace
An SI Board Since February 2003
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Emcee:  skinowski Type:  Moderated
Introduction Compact
On this thread we discuss trading using mostly TA, with some use of FA when relevant. The special emphasis is on Elliott Wave analysis. We welcome ideas and discussion related to Sentiment, Momentum and Trend Following.

People are invited to freely exchange views and opinions. Everyone is 100% responsible for their decisions.

Always give a lot of weight to the prevailing trend. E-waves have a tendency to make you look for "completed structures" and too expect reversals. You will find that a lot more often waves will just keep subdividing in the direction of the larger trend.

(Reminder - any comment I ever make on this thread is FWIW. No one really knows the future)


Jay Kaeppel:
Jay’s Trading Maxim #38 - Two of the keys to trading success are: •Being willing to take decisive action when the right moment comes along (and doubt is highest) •Doing nothing the rest of the time (when the urge to “do something” is at its height)
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41725I would guess that - excluding “hodlers” - most of the trading in BTC is in futuskinowski1last Friday
41724Interesting points… worth remembering [X] The problem with doing this is the askinowski1last Friday
41723NAAIM The only time the index was not higher 2 months later was after the signaskinowski-last Friday
41722Put / call spike is bullish - but, the AAII members holding low levels of dry poskinowski1last Thursday
41721[X] Exactly.. an important and useful distinction IMO. "Oversold" is a "conditiskinowski1last Thursday
41720Look at the chart of XLY. The stock made a high in September, then, an ABC downskinowski-last Wednesday
41719Good point: Inflations are not created equally. Nowadays, we’re a lot more sophiskinowski-last Wednesday
41718I agree wholeheartedly over the longer term: inflation and rates up for many manPerspective-last Tuesday
41717This is a somewhat bearish statistic. When the 1st quarter produces a lower lowskinowski2last Tuesday
41716Interest rates cycles [X] I would never rely solely on cycles. BUT, until bondskinowski-last Monday
41715Buying SPX when VIX is over 35 —> and selling, when VIX comes down to under 2skinowski2last Sunday
41714Mixed Messages [X] February CPI came in largely in line with expectations, reiskinowski1March 13
41713Delskinowski-March 12
41712IGV — to me, the last move to new lows - in February - is a three-waver, with a skinowski-March 12
41711Both, momentum and the bullish percentage putting in bullish divergences. Definiskinowski-March 11
41710He *may* be right. Depends what they’ll think 100 years from now. Bibi always tskinowski1March 11
41709[X] An interesting take. https://t.co/4gF4XsVEGo— Jay Kaeppel (@jaykaeppel) MarJ.B.C.-March 11
41708Not sure how many here trade futures. But, it’s an interesting point. Like, bacskinowski-March 11
41707typically leads to weak short-term returns for the S&P 500. During this vulnskinowski-March 10
41706$VIX spike over 30 for the first time in >8 months tends to be a positive. [skinowski-March 9
41705I have a storage building that originally was a 2 room school house. I poured arobert b furman1March 8
41704My work with GEX says going negative will create large moves, but deeper negativJack of All Trades3March 8
41703We bought a storage garage for our Airstream trailer. These units were just recJ.B.C.1March 8
41702You must have a very large garage. <ggg>Alan Smithee-March 8
41701HI J.B.C., Thank you forkind words. Sounds like you have a neat son. I forgot robert b furman1March 8
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