jelrod3, I think the problem with Seagate is already priced into the stock:
MILPITAS, Calif., Dec 4 (Reuters) - Adaptec Inc.(NASDAQ:ADPT) shares fell for a third day on Thursday amid rising concerns that a slowdown in the disk-drive industry will mean slowing sales of Adaptec drive components. Adaptec shares fell $1.94 to close at $39.25 on trading of 9.73 million shares, making it the fifth most active issue on the Nasdaq market. Since Monday, the stock has lost $10.875, or 22 percent, from $50.125. Adaptec, based in Milpitas, Calif., gets about 20 percent of its revenue from electronics for controlling personal computer disk drives. Its customers include disk drive giants like Western Digital Corp., which warned of weaker than expected profits for the quarter. "Drive controller chips have, we believe, seen weaker demand," said Scott Randall, analyst at Soundview Financial Group. Company executives did tell analysts this week that weaker disk drive sales could hurt its disk controller business, but the rest of Adaptec's products -- high-speed connectors and adapters for personal computers and servers -- remains strong, said Bruce Frymire, Adaptec spokesman. "Our host adapter business is looking stable," he said.
and this:
SINGAPORE, Jan 19 (Reuters) - Adaptec Inc said on Monday it expected revenues in Asia outside Japan and South Korea to grow in strong double-digits for its year ending March 1998. "We're looking at revenues of about US$200 million for fiscal 1998 -- kind of 30-40 percent growth," Chan Chee Keong, Adaptec's regional sales manager for Asia Pacific told a news conference. This covers sales from its products used in systems and peripherals in Asia outside Japan and South Korea, he said.
further on:
Adaptec officials on Monday said the profits warning was referring more to a slowdown in the high-end desktop market in the U.S. and weakness in the Japanese market. They said the Asian financial crisis had had limited impact on the company as it had little business in countries like Indonesia and Thailand. Most of its distribution was in Australia, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China and Singapore, they said. |