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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts
COHR 178.34-10.2%3:59 PM EST
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To: weatherguru who wrote (3517)8/6/2019 3:57:36 PM
From: Kirk ©1 Recommendation

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isopatch

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Here on the West coast we are having strange weather where the summer hasn't been dominated by the NPH (North Pacific High) sitting off our coast and thus making great windsurfing in the SF Bay Area, Maui HI and along the Gorge (Columbia River) up North. The NPH has moved all over allowing winter type storms to come in from Alaska but without the rain, etc...
Water vapor is a greenhouse gas. Here's a good description from NASA. nasa.gov

The global warming debate is essentially how an increase in CO2 impacts water vapor, i.e. the ensuing feedbacks on how increasing water vapor & temperature impact the percentage of condensation (clouds). More clouds = more cooling, and less clouds = more warming. It's a see-saw feedback that is really, really hard to parameterize.

It SEEMS to me we have a lot more clouds over the Pacific this summer that probably keep the air cooler too.

Some say this is what we get after wet "El Nino" winters like we just had but my windsurfing records seem to indicate I've sailed far fewer days than past El Nino years.

Is what we are seeing "climate change" from the CO2 as many claim or something else?

I also wonder if all the fires we got across the globe will put more soot in the air and thus reflect more solar energy and tend to stabilize some of the global warming from more CO2.

A recent article I read said the reasons ALL climate models missed the true measurements in 2016 was they didn't model low altitude cloud cover well so that has me thinking. I note in your 2015 reply to me that you suggested this was "the issue" so some knew about it yet somehow couldn't model it.

My left wing but OTHERWISE INTELLIGENT friends would call me all sorts of names just for saying I didn't want to pay higher taxes to "fix the problem" when none of their models worked to predict what we got so how would I know X billion dollars spent would provide Y dollars worth of benefit.

Thanks for anything you can contribute on this.
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