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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts

COHR 178.34

-10.2%

Dec 12 9:30 AM EST

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To: Kirk © who wrote (8048)	1/7/2020 9:52:09 AM
From: robert b furman	Read Replies (1) of 26768

Good Morning Kirk, Microchip is in an investor presentation today. They have pre-released a guidance upgrade this morning: “We continued to experience strong bookings in December 2019 that resulted in better than expected billings for the December 2019 quarter and improved backlog for the March 2020 quarter” said Steve Sanghi, Microchip’s CEO. “The December 2019 quarter book-to-bill ratio was above 1.0 after several quarters of the book-to-bill ratio being below 1.0. The opening backlog for the March 2020 quarter is currently significantly higher than the opening backlog was for the December 2019 quarter. Microchip is seeing strength coming from all major geographies including the U.S., Europe and Asia, as well as several major end markets including data center, industrial and automotive.” “Based on several inflexion points we are seeing in the business, we believe that the December 2019 quarter was the bottom of this cycle for Microchip, barring any negative developments on the U.S./China trade front or unexpected fallout from geopolitical events. We are preparing our factories and subcontractors to be able to deliver better than mid-single digit percentage sequential revenue growth in the March 2020 quarter. We will provide sales and earnings guidance for the March 2020 quarter on February 4, 2020 via our quarterly earnings release and conference call,” concluded Mr. Sanghi. It is especially positive news regarding data center and industrial - both of which had a slow down into 2019. I've heard this also from Lam and Brooks Automation. Taiwan Semi has big Capex planned this year. This could be the year for semi's to lead into new highs. I remember the entire 1999 runup in semi's happened as the general market advance/decline ratios got weaker all the way till the bottom fell out. Not sure most remember that today. Bob

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