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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts
COHR 143.02+3.5%3:59 PM EST
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rdkflorida2
To: Kirk © who wrote (9112)4/11/2020 3:53:41 PM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation   of 26546
 
You came to the right conclusion. It takes only a 100 carriers to reignite the flames and push the rates to before the lockdown in a week.

So you either need widespread and continuous testing, or herd immunity. The most likely path forward is a combination of controlled slow opening of the lockdown and random testing with quick localized contagion response until the end of the year.

If they do it right and if the virus doesn't mutate badly, then we may have achieved enough herd immunity to have a semi-normal life in 2021.
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