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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts

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12:41 PM EST

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benwood

To: benwood who wrote (9490)	4/26/2020 8:07:20 PM
From: Kirk ©	1 Recommendation Read Replies (2) of 26429

Have you seen this site that calculates Rt? rt.live When the curve started to bend up for CA, the politicians changed the lie about the effectiveness of masks and started requiring them for many counties in our state. While some states are already opening up, the top graph for all 50 states shows that the 90% confidence interval says it could be a mistake for even the lowest value of Rt. That is a 1 in 10 chance opening up a week early could put you back ... (actually since the negative 5% would be a lower Rt, it is probably a 1 in 20 chance... still, I'd feel better with 1 in 99 or higher, especially since we should all know how worthless, er wrong, the climate models came out a making predictions... ) I believe the peaking corresponds with them implementing much more serious social distancing measures for grocery and other "essential" stores to remain open... shopping here was a lot easier a couple of weeks ago. It is much safer but a bigger hassle.

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