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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts
COHR 189.04+4.1%10:00 AM EST
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To: Investor2 who wrote (9613)5/2/2020 7:20:51 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (4) of 26722
 
Exactly right. Don't let the nuts sway you and I'd love to see that chart.
If you look at a chart of the total monthly deaths over time compared to the average monthly total deaths over the past decade, you will see that there is a huge increase in the number of deaths in March and April 2020. Something is happening this year that is making people die at a much greater rate than other years.
Here is Santa Clara County, I read our deaths attributed to "the common flu" were up 25% over last year. Many like me had the worst "flu" without a fever in decades in December and/or January. Many more people than is typical died from it. Now the coroner decided to go back and look at some of the autopsy data, I think they ran tests on samples, and found some of the samples had COVID-19. If the death was due to getting hit by a truck or shot by police, the COD would be that, not COVID-19 but if they were classified as flu deaths, then since it was COVID-19 flu... they'll probably change the COD. This has the effect of making the number of deaths and death rate go up but it is still misleading because we really haven't tested many in the population...

If we find 20% more deaths are due to Covid-19 but find 200% more of the population has been exposed and recovered than has tested positive and recovered, then it would mean the death rate from this is lower than some fear.

Anyway, looking at a table or chart of total deaths per month along with what the normal two sigma levels are would sure be interesting to compare with this "flu season."
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