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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts

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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (10941)

2/15/2021 11:39:43 AM

From: Sun Tzu

1 Recommendation of 26788

From: Qone0	1 Recommendation of 18047

I think these mutations are the virus's dying gasp. I believe it hit herd immunity at 250k cases a day. coronavirus.jhu.edu Why The Pandemic Is 10 Times Worse Than You Think Now a research team at Columbia University has built a mathematical model that gives a much more complete — and scary — picture of how much virus is circulating in our communities. It estimates how many people are never counted because they never get tested. And it answers a second question that is arguably even more crucial — but that until now has not been reliably estimated: On any given day, what is the total number of people who are actively infectious? This includes those who may have been infected on previous days but are still shedding virus and capable of spreading disease. The model's conclusion: On any given day, the actual number of active cases — people who are newly infected or still infectious — is likely 10 times that day's official number of reported cases. The model has not been published or peer-reviewed yet, but lead researcher, Jeffrey Shaman, an infectious disease specialist at Columbia University, shared the data exclusively with NPR. Here are more of the startling takeaways. https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/02/06/964527835/why-the-pandemic-is-10-times-worse-than-you-think The first case of COVID-19 in United States was reported 389 days ago on 1/21/2020. Since then, the country has reported 27,640,282 cases, and 485,336 deaths. Times this number by 10 and you have herd immunity.

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