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Strategies & Market Trends : The Art of Investing
PICK 46.19-0.3%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST
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Sun Tzu
To: Sun Tzu who wrote (1610)3/23/2021 10:26:42 PM
From: Lou Weed1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) of 10599
 
<<There have been many cases that the market just keeps going up and up and being cautious actually costs your more than if you had stayed put until the crash had actually started.>>

Very true -

Market timing is way more detrimental to potential returns than time in the market.....

hbkcpa.com

  • Missing the best days – Analysts at Putnam Investments examined the period from 2000 through 2014 and asked what would happen if an investor were to be out of the market completely for its 10 best days. A $10,000 investment at the outset would be worth $22,118 if left untouched in an index fund through that period of two bull and two bear markets. But just missing the 10 best days—three-tenths of a percent of the period—would reduce that gain by half. Missing the 20 best days would cut the gain by two-thirds to $7,297.
  • When were the "best" days? – As opposed to some random point in the middle of a raging bull market, they occurred mostly in the worst of times. Of the 10 best days, seven were in the thick of bear markets. Two were in the first few weeks of the bull market that began in 2009, a time when few people believed and no one knew for sure that the worst stock selloff in 70 years had ended.
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