ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts

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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (32023)	8/25/2021 3:39:06 PM
From: Jacob Snyder	2 Recommendations Recommended By ajtj99 towerdog Read Replies (3) of 97431

Covid: Global: 7dma of daily reported cases has stopped increasing. Possible peak on August 19 at 657k. 5B vaccine doses given. UK: after the July peak, a decline, but not to the pre-Delta baseline. Looks like they may get a series of smaller waves, extending for months. The hoped-for rapid decline post-peak is not happening. 63% of population fully vaccinated. US: 7dma curve has stopped increasing, now at 149k, indicating a possible peak. Daily deaths look like they may be peaking at 1000. 52% vaccinated. India: 7dma down to 32k, far below the 400k peak. No secondary waves so far. 10% vaccinated. All these numbers are undercounts, but are useful relatively. Data accuracy: UK>US>India, trough>peak. If we are just past the peak in covid cases, then oil, airlines, cruise ships may be troughing. I am buying in increments. I cannot find much data on % of population with covid antibodies. India 66%, US 20% (old data), no data elsewhere. This would be a better measure of how close we are to the end of the pandemic. All numbers from NY Times and worldometer.

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