| | | Covid:
Global: 7dma of daily reported cases has stopped increasing. Possible peak on August 19 at 657k. 5B vaccine doses given.
UK: after the July peak, a decline, but not to the pre-Delta baseline. Looks like they may get a series of smaller waves, extending for months. The hoped-for rapid decline post-peak is not happening. 63% of population fully vaccinated.
US: 7dma curve has stopped increasing, now at 149k, indicating a possible peak. Daily deaths look like they may be peaking at 1000. 52% vaccinated.
India: 7dma down to 32k, far below the 400k peak. No secondary waves so far. 10% vaccinated.
All these numbers are undercounts, but are useful relatively. Data accuracy: UK>US>India, trough>peak.
If we are just past the peak in covid cases, then oil, airlines, cruise ships may be troughing. I am buying in increments.
I cannot find much data on % of population with covid antibodies. India 66%, US 20% (old data), no data elsewhere. This would be a better measure of how close we are to the end of the pandemic.
All numbers from NY Times and worldometer. |
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