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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts
COHR 131.96-0.6%Oct 31 9:30 AM EST
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From: Kirk ©6/9/2022 12:50:25 PM
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What will monthly inflation come in at tomorrow?

Votes Cast : 14
What will the monthly CPI-U number be Friday 6/10/22?
-0.5% or lower - deflation
 
0
-0.1% to -0.4% - deflation
 
0
0.0% - Flat
 
1
0.1% to 0.4% - moderate inflation
 
2
0.5% to 0.9% - High inflation
 
9
1.0% and above - Out of Control Inflation
 
2
 
This poll is now closed (poll closed on 10 Jun 2022).


What will matter to me with the CPI is the monthly change. Y/Y will be high but if it continues to be lower, like 0.3% from last month, that annualizes to a much lower CPI a year out, which is what the markets are supposed to discount and the recent bottom should hold.

If it comes in at 0.8% again, I think the markets will make new lows as 12x0.8% is 9.6%, the highest reading in over 40 years.

Should I make this a monthly feature article:

Wednesday, May 11, 2022

Inflation Hot at 8.3% but Monthly Readings Much Lower with Energy Falling
kirklindstrom.blogspot.com

kirklindstrom.blogspot.com
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