SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : CFZ E-Wiggle Workspace

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: skinowski who wrote (40059)12/30/2023 10:29:46 AM
From: robert b furman  Read Replies (1) of 41471
 
Hi Ski,

Happy New Year to you and family.

"None of then was bearish for the intermediate term." I'm not sure I agree with that statement. Define intermediate term ?

The SPX topped out at 4818.62 in January 2000. It declined for the next 3 months and the bottom fell out in April. That final top marked the beginning of a very long and painful ABC that took years.

If an investor had a big position i a stock, that gives a 3-4 month time period to sell out of get a hedge.

Of course the first two strings (92 and 98) did work out.

That really shows how valuable an Elliott Wave count is!

The key point is 1999 was a straight up parabolic rise. During that rise many a chart showed unbridled euphoria AND the last straight up wave had a 5 in it.

Not being frozen by greed really paid off then.

I think we're due a reset fairly soon in 2024.

Bob
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext