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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board

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From: OldAIMGuy	4/29/2025 8:55:27 AM
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The view of Market Risk shifted to a place a little less 'breathless' with last week's trading. If Al Roker gave us the Market Risk Report instead of AM Weather on NBC, how would he present it? Would he report "26 Million Investors could be affected by growing concerns!!!" This week's view with the v-Wave and the SignalPoint MRI show the storm clouds thinning and blue skies reappearing. It's a welcome break in the investment weather. Both the MRI and the v-Wave dropped in risk profile this week. The MRI is down another point to 25% suggested reserve cash with the v-Wave at 28%. Both are below their median values now. Looking at these histograms we see that it's been over a year since they were as favorable. This rapid decline in measured market risk since the year's start hasn't been without some discomfort. If this were one's last day of work before retiring, it might be stressful. The broad sweep of share price discounts across so many investment classes left very little choice as safe havens. As mentioned in recent weeks, Gold and other precious metals along with the companies producing them have taken up 25% of Value LIne's "Best Performers - Latest 13 Weeks" list again this week. That's 10 of the top 40 stocks in Value LIne's 1700 stock universe! It's too bad data on Pawn Shops isn't available! I imagine some are doing big business these days. So, while gold was appreciating, reserved cash was earning some interest as a haven and portfolio insurance. Will we get to deploy more of the cash held in reserve during this market cycle? At this point my own accounts have barely tapped the Cash Register even though buy target prices are far closer than they were at the start of 2025. Value LIne dropped Bank of America (BAC, yield 2.6%) from their "Above Average Dividend model this week. It's being replaced with Amgen (AMGN, 3.2% yield). See Value LIne's "Selection and Opinion" section for the full story. No changes were made in their Long Term Price Appreciation model this week. Best wishes, Tom Veale Bank of America schrts.co Amgen schrts.co Buy from the Scared; Sell to the Greedy.....

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