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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board
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From: OldAIMGuy6/23/2025 10:34:19 AM
   of 18927
 
Again this week, international risk activities occurred after the equity markets were closed for the weekend. Whether this was intentional or not is not something I am privileged to know. However, it does mean that SignalPoint and v-Wave market risk indicators are updated with only information through last Friday's close. Even so, we see the SignalPoint Market Risk Indicator rising another point to 31% suggested cash and its associated Oscillator at +6, indicating strong upward risk pressure.



Three of the four MRI components rose in their own risk territories helping to push this upward in risk profile. While still two points shy of its Caution threshold, we acknowledge the trend.

The v-Wave market risk indicator is in harmony with the MRI showing increased risk from the market lows, but it remained steady through last Friday's close.



At 33% suggested cash reserve, it's on its Caution threshold.

While neither indicator is designed as a "risk on/risk off' device, both are suggested significant reserves of cash. Cash is the insurance policy of our Equity Warehouses. While it doesn't prevent downturns, it is there to help us recover from them. At 4.34% yield on the 13 Week Treasury, it is offering a healthy improvement over Value Line's average dividend of just 2.2% (median for the last 40 years). Both risk indicators suggest it would be good advice to follow any inventory reduction signals from Mr. Lichello's AIM algorithm.

Best wishes,
OAG Tom
PS: no changes were shown in Value Line's 3-5 year growth model portfolio this week.

Buy from the Scared; Sell to the Greedy.....
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