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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board

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From: OldAIMGuy	8/11/2025 11:15:36 AM
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When should we switch from Alka-Seltzer MAALOX? It appears we should have both on hand. The Wall Street Casino is still in full swing with the tables crowded. There doesn't appear to be any lack of enthusiasm again this week. But, we see that again this week three of the four MRI Components are in their own Caution territory as is the overall MRI reading. This week's suggested cash reserve comes in at 38% for diversified portfolios. That's up another point from a week ago. The MRI Oscillator is showing +3, or moderate upward risk pressure. This suggests following advice to take some profits and cap equity risk exposure as being prudent. Value Line's "Appreciation Potential" black box tells a slightly different story when converted into the v-Wave. Here we see the v-Wave actually declining slightly (one point) and hovering right around the cautionary boundary. At 32% suggested cash for the 3-5 year time horizon, it's still a long way from the Proactive zone where we'd feel safer with a higher Equity/Cash ratio. For both the v-Wave and the MRI, it appears making new speculative investments might best be delayed at least until we see these measures back to their median levels. Looking back over time we see that upside potential from lower risk entries has been greater. Speaking of new equity ideas, Value Line was busy this week in their Model III portfolio (above average 3-5 year appreciation potential). They removed Enovis (ENOV) from the list after a short stay of just about 10 months. During that time the share price dropped about 17%. This apparently wasn't one of their better additions. ( Link schrts.co ) They replaced ENOV with Trinity Industries (TRN) in the hope of a rebound in their stock. Good bookings for more new rail cars is their main reason for optimism. There's also a reasonable yield at the current share price of over 4%. schrts.co Here's a look at the overall Portfolio Model III: Best regards, OAG Tom Buy from the Scared; Sell to the Greedy.....

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