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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts
COHR 175.05-1.9%3:59 PM EST
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To: Kirk © who wrote (26690)12/5/2025 1:44:50 PM
From: robert b furman2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Kirk ©
toccodolce

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Hi Kirk,

Stink bids are easy.

I'll just go to my GTC orders and I have a list to check daily.

Most seldom trigger and it usually only happens when CLX studies indicate the bottomspotter to be active (not where we are now.:

But these are some:
TpA @ $19.25 (6.5 %) yield and with rate cuts, it will move current price ($19.86) towards par @ 25 - at least that is my plan. LOL a 30% move with rate cuts taking it to par. While waiting, it is a very safe place to park money at 6.5% - way better than a Treasury and at a lower qualified dividend tax rate.

VZ - an unliked out of favor telco with a new CEO and a large acquisition to find funding for (Frontier Communications) in 2026. Buy at $37.80 and $38.75, Currently Wallowing in a very long term ABC flat - in wave C now. $2.76 dividend just increaded this last quarter
.
VTS - is a Williston shale play, ( hat just merged a small Canadian oil company - Lucero). They have drilled and completed two of Lucero's wells which came in under budget (each by 2 million and the wells are producing above expectations). With the merger they slightly bumped up to an already big dividend of $2.25 annually.
My stink bid $18.96. I have also sold some $20.00 puts, and some 22.50 puts
This is a non-operating oil company - they buy minority interests in the wells and/or own the oil royalties on the land others drill on. They avoid the big costs that way, but benefit by taking their oil production" in like kind" and then hedge substantially all of their future production. Their 2025 production is essentially already hedged at $60.97 per barrel. 30% of their 2026 production is hedged at 60-ish. CEO has said the dividend is safe with crude at mid 60's. Some say it is danger and some do not. - thus some volatile swings that correlate with the price of crude. Small position as it is a wild ride. Currently yielding 10.31% and I've owned it almost a year now

PR - Permian Resources. A pure play in the Permian. #9 largest producer, there, mostly located in the Delaware portion of the Permian. The least developed part of the Permian and very promising with more tier 1 wells vs the already tire1 wells of the TX area already drilled. Their claim to fame is the lowest cost per linear foot of fracking pipe in the Permian. A recent almost 1 billion acquisition from OXY in 2024 has been aclaimed to have been a great buy and as close to the kind of land buy that gets bought by the bigger E&P's. They have been on top of leading edge drilling innovations. Dual fuel electricity generation for drilling (saves 1 million for every 1000 hours of use) and doing almost all 3 and 4 mile long laterals (which produce more and decline less). The longer the lateral, the greater the "connectivity "(which draws the oil out faster and a stronger pull).

PR stink bids at below $12.00 and $11.00 for cash buys with puts on the $10.00 strike price. I have all but a full position in LT Capital gains and trying to add 25 % more via the assignment of $10.00 puts.

I have some put sell bids on CHORD (CHRD) puts @ 75.00 for $4.00 and ONEOOK (OKE ) puts @ 60's for $2.00.

Serv with fresh Limburger cheese and a bottle of whiskey for courage if they assign.

I have been leaning on energy stocks ever since the pandemic.

Bidens administration has all but hog tied these leaders in cheap fossil fuel explorationand It is still much out of favor IMO.

I do believe the US will be the lowest and cleanest provider of energy in the future. Fossil fuels will be the bridge to nuclear fission in big plants ( molten sodium) and small modular reactors for data centers and natural gas plants for data centers.

The surprise that most don't see coming is these all take time. The "instant on" will come from the Trump administration telling the already built data centers to run on their back up power systems rather than pull off the grid. That will require the vast use of diesel fuel and it will take the price of diesel and crude comfortably into the 70's.

All of the above will comfortably get a big boost from that decision.

Remeber where you heard it first! LOL

Bob
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