CFZ E-Wiggle Workspace Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : CFZ E-Wiggle Workspace

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: ajtj99 who wrote (41596)	2/1/2026 5:28:46 PM
From: skinowski	Read Replies (1) of 41606

Interesting that the AAII Bull - Bear spread in 2021 broke above 46% some 3 times - but none of them counted for the purpose of this study, because all of them occurred less than a year from the preceding one, in 2020. Same for 2024 - it happened 3 times, but only the 1st one went into that table. Looks like, overall, the >46% spreads tend to occur during periods of strength in the market - with the first incident [typically] taking place as the market is coming out of a period of weakness. All this suggests that maybe this setup does have some predictive value (even though I don’t like very much studies which feel like if they were designed for data mining). I wonder why they didn’t go further back to see how this setup has been behaving in the past - leaves one to wonder that maybe they didn’t like what they found? Every time the spread broke above 46%, it pulled back - and looks like, repeatedly, the index came down and tested the midline of the BB’s - and, on occasion, the lower tine. You suggest the same - good point.

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next