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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 268.72+1.3%3:59 PM EST

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To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (21746)7/14/1998 4:12:00 AM
From: Tito L. Nisperos Jr.  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
Jacob,

Your questions were directed to Gottfried but this is what I can say:---

Follow Mr. Market!... INTC may report lower earnings but does the Past matter much to the Market?... CPQs inventory problems are being solved, does it not give us a hint for the future of PCs and Chips?... Christmas is nearing, Windows 98 is here... Hold on to your INTCs, AMAT's turn will follow later...

I know you rely on the Fundamental in your investment decisions, so did I in the past. I even used Technical Analysis but lost a lot of money using them. I have nothing against Fundamental and Technical and I use them together with Sentimental to enhance my Yoyo indicator...

Early last year I caused a lot of eyebrows to raise when, by just using my Instincts, I predicted AMAT will gain 250% in 1997. One even offered to sell me a Crystal Ball for 1,000 dollars!... What happened is that the stock did gained 200% at one time --- which was close enough. If I relied on the then 5-yr PE of 20 for the stock, I would have predicted only 60 for the stock!...

Here is a Post that answers why I don't rely on PEs and Charts alone anymore:---
Message 722771

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