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Politics : Did Slick Boink Monica?

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To: Greenpeace who wrote (17471)7/26/1998 3:38:00 PM
From: Zoltan!  Read Replies (1) of 20981
 
Green Pees, I know this can't help someone as terminally vapid as you, but I shall still try to stop your abuse of children:

More Guns, Less Crime:
Understanding Crime and Gun Control

John R. Lott, John M. Olin Visiting Fellow in Law and Economics, University of Chicago


ISBN:
0226493636
Publisher:
University of Chicago Press
Pub. Date:
April 1998


Synopsis

Challenging conventional wisdom, legal scholar John Lott presents a
timely and provocative work in which he comes to a startling conclusion:
more guns mean less crime. Relying on the FBI''s massive yearly crime
figures over 18 years, "More Guns, Less Crime" should be required
reading for anyone interested in the critical debate over gun control.
Illustrations.

Expert Commentary

From Kirkus:
An intriguing and shocking took at crime, guns, and gun control policy.
Lott (Law/Univ. of Chicago) writes with a relentless distaste for
conventional wisdom, such as the belief that most people are killed by
someone they know. That category, Lott protests, is simply too large to
be meaningful, and he takes to task the notion that concealed guns
increase crime. To Lott's mind, citizens who carry concealed guns protect
themselves against both friends and strangers and prevent the death of
innocent citizens. Lott cites a host of cases where armed victims
managed to outwit or kill their attackers. Common sense approaches like
gun buyback programs or waiting periods for gun parchases, the hallmark
of the Brady Bill, also seem useless to Lott. He draws on studies and
data to suggest that an armed citizen is a safe citizen. Lott stresses that
many western states like Arizona, Texas, and Oklahoma have
nondiscretionary handgun laws, and crime is significantly lower in those
areas. Sure to raise questions and some controversy, and hopefully will
draw attention to the complex issue of crime and potential solutions.

From The Publisher:
Does allowing people to own or carry guns deter violent crime? Or does it
cause more citizens to harm each other? Wherever people happen to fall
along the ideological spectrum, their answers are all too often founded
upon mere impressionistic and anecdotal evidence. In this direct
challenge to conventional wisdom, legal scholar John Lott presents the
most rigorously comprehensive data analysis ever done on crime. In this
provocative work he comes to a startling conclusion more guns mean less
crime. In what may be his most controversial conclusion, Lott finds that
mass public shootings, such as the infamous examples of the Long
Island Railroad by Colin Ferguson or the 1996 Empire State Building
shooting, are dramatically reduced once law-abiding citizens in a state
are allowed to carry concealed handguns.
shop.barnesandnoble.com

Based on the following academic study:

Crime, Deterrence, and Right-to-Carry Concealed Handguns

John R. Lott, Jr.

School of Law

University of Chicago

Chicago, Illinois 60637

and

David B. Mustard

Department of Economics

University of Chicago

Chicago, Illinois 60637

July 26, 1996

* The authors would like to thank Gary Becker, Phil Cook, Clayton Cramer, Gertrud Fremling, EdGlaeser, Hide Ichimura, Don Kates, Gary Kleck, David Kopel, William Landes, David McDowall,Derek Neal, Dan Polsby, and Douglas Weil and the seminar participants at the University of Chicago,American Law and Economics Association Meetings, and the Western Economic Association Meetings for their unusually helpful comments.

Abstract

Using cross-sectional time-series data for U.S. counties from 1977 to 1992, we find that allowing citizens to carry concealed weapons deters violent crimes and it appears to produce no increase in accidental deaths. If those states which did not have right-to-carry concealed gun provisions had adopted them in 1992, approximately 1,570 murders; 4,177 rapes; and over 60,000 aggravate assaults would have been avoided yearly. On the other hand, consistent with the notion of criminals responding to incentives, we find criminals substituting into property crimes involving stealth and where the probabilities of contact between the criminal and the victim are minimal. The largest
population counties where the deterrence effect on violent crimes is greatest are where the substitution effect into property crimes is highest. Concealed handguns also have their greatest deterrent effect in the highest crime counties. Higher arrest and conviction rates consistently and dramatically reduce the crime rate. Consistent with other recent work (Lott, 1992b), the results imply that increasing the arrest rate, independent of the probability of eventual conviction, imposes a significant penalty on criminals. The estimated annual gain from allowing concealed handguns is at least $6.214 billion....

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