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Strategies & Market Trends : Systems, Strategies and Resources for Trading Futures

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To: TimbaBear who wrote (23199)	5/14/1999 12:01:00 PM
From: Chip McVickar	Read Replies (1) of 44573

Timbabear, Your question is excellent and no doubt being asked by many people at this very moment. You should ask Henry...he is an active and excellent professional international bond trader. Message 9528344 IMHO I believe the Feds will not raise the rates .25 The recovery in Europe, Latin America and Asia, combined with the new ECU has the Fed's hands tied. Any increase would be a problem for the interest rate balances, would draw funds to US bonds and increase the strength of the dollar...none of which is what anyone wants... There are others who disagree...believing the +.25 would define Fed resolve and signal a desire halt incipient inflation and control a runaway US Market. IMHO If the Feds were to raise rates...this time...it would be different then in your example. Markets here are jittery, the indexes have moved up on a thin base (although it is broadening) and a .25 raise would drop the markets and become a buying opportunity. I do not believe .25 would kill the bull....probably send it side ways. Ask Henry My Best Chip

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