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Strategies & Market Trends : The Art of Investing
PICK 51.25-0.7%Dec 31 4:00 PM EST

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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (688)5/18/1999 8:27:00 AM
From: Cymeed  Read Replies (1) of 10714
 
Hi Sun, I agree with your valuation of AMZN on a fundamental basis. As a matter of fact, you were way too generous in giving 10% margin to AMZN (in 2~3 years). I think they are actually running at -10% currently and do not expect to make a profit before and including 2001.

However, the stock has been driven by speculative money and there is no telling what this "Thing" will do next LOL. Recently, CVS got into the drug business (to compete with AMZN's drugstore) and WalMart is aiming at retail on-line as well. Those types of competition and the fact that AMZN has to cut book prices further deep to build their "Brand" is depressing the share price. But again, you never know when the "Thing" will move again.

One thing I found out is, however, never go shorting this "Thing." Every time when the big boy behind this stock sees enough shorts, they pour money in and drive the share price to sky high :o). Part of the reason AMZN is trading so high is because of the shorters who lost their shirts on it LOL.

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