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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: unclewest who wrote (21922)6/7/1999 9:57:00 PM
From: Brian1970  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
If those projections are even half right, then I'm dancing! So how many stock splits does that translate into? I.e., if I own 200 shares today (at 80ish), what will I own in 2002, and what will be the value? I suck at math, that's why I became an attorney. Anyone have a quick formula to plug in? I want to go home shopping starting now....



To: unclewest who wrote (21922)6/7/1999 10:58:00 PM
From: wsp  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 93625
 
Unclewest,
I'm blown away by the numbers and I know there is much more to the story than the pc market. I do have a few questions about the numbers to help me be sure I'm understanding.

Questions:

1. Is the annual earnings refering to rambus calendar year ending
Sept. 1999. ?

2. Do the estimates allow for a Administration and R&D of about 20 to
25%, then also taxes of approx. 37% ?

Thanks in advance for response !!
995 long and still buying till $200/share !

scott,



To: unclewest who wrote (21922)6/8/1999 2:47:00 PM
From: BillT  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
To: Unclewest
From: Fred Hager

I would like to take the opportunity to commend you on the work you do on this thread. I find your posts insightful and encouraging.

Your post (#21922) concerning Rambus estimates included a figure by REH. That number is actually an estimate I came up with and Rolv asked for my permission to use it on the threads.

Rolv is an old friend of mine who I met on the beach in Monte Carlo in 1984. I was impressed with his knowledge of both hardware and software. At the time, Rolf was working for a Norwegian company but he wanted to come to the U.S. I hired him and he worked for me for about two years. He is an honest, hardworking guy (I am saying this because I saw some less-than-complimentary comments about him on this thread.)

On to the numbers: I based my figure ($23 eps in 2002) on a percentage of royalties on the total semiconductor business, which in 1998 was about $125 billion. I projected Rambus' earnings per share for a 12-month calendar period in 2002, adjusted for the expected growth of the semiconductor business. The reason I did that was because I talked with Rambus' VP Subodh Toprani, and he told me the non-PC environment presented an opportunity for Rambus that exceeded the PC potential by several hundred percent. The total semiconductor universe is easier to work with because the numbers can be obtained on an annual basis and are relatively reliable.

I just wanted to state where the numbers came from.
Thanks again for your posts, and for reading this one.

Regards,

Fred Hager
Fredhager.com



To: unclewest who wrote (21922)6/9/1999 11:20:00 AM
From: Apollo  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 93625
 
Dear Uncle:

Have been lurking since January, and wanted to formally extend my thanx to you and to all the regulars for teaching me so much about both Rambus and about investing. Am in for 550 shares at $74 average. My approach is buy & hold. Am so impressed with this thread and many others on SI that I doled out the $200 just to say thanx.

Stan