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Pastimes : The Naked Truth - Big Kahuna a Myth -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: MythMan who wrote (47855)	6/17/1999 5:45:00 PM
From: Robert	Respond to of 86076

Well then send them over to the DELL thread for their nighttime vampire feeding. And please leave MU to crumble from its own weight. <g> -- Robert

To: MythMan who wrote (47855)	6/17/1999 6:02:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Respond to of 86076

Analysis of end of Day Closing prices and recommendations in Rubins & Uncle Al Tulips Market - Reversal into Option expiration OIL at 18.41 This is the most effective list, but validate signals. Results are relative to the SPX and move relative to the SPX - Haim see more data & info at bway.net Today is 06/17/99 Remember this is a computer scan only S&P Closed 1339.90 Now bad news are AGAIN good news S&P Change 9.490 Recomandation Price Stoch. RSI RSI RS Change ROC% BUY SIGNAL ON DAL 56.312 20.915 38 0 302 BUY SIGNAL ON KO 64.562 14.679 40 4 18 BUY SIGNAL ON LIZ 36.188 30.128 50 5 11 BUY SIGNAL ON NVX 4.438 25.806 42 0 3 SELL SIGNAL ON UNH 67.250 87.383 59 -2 -7 BUY SIGNAL ON PFE 100.438 20.663 39 2 8 BUY SIGNAL ON PRST 7.000 26.667 46 0 6 BUY SIGNAL ON IOM 4.375 32.500 45 8 2 BUY SIGNAL ON WDC 6.500 2.740 30 -4 14 SELL SIGNAL ON BPA 112.375 76.786 60 -2 -7 CURR PREV CURR STOCH TICKER NAME CLOSE CLOSE Vol % %K %D RSI ------------------------ ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- AA AA 67.375 64.938 91.592% 96.768 94.546 66.043 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE AS AS 6.875 6.938 159.611% 92.593 92.767 69.052 * RSI SELL CRF CRF 11.250 11.500 45.962% 92.000 91.228 66.263 * RSI SELL CRUS CRUS 9.750 8.000 937.326% 78.191 71.000 78.415 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE * VOLUME BREAKOUT 937.326 PERCENT OVER LAST 30 DAYS CUM CUM 53.812 51.750 448.174% 70.312 60.754 60.625 * VOLUME BREAKOUT 448.174 PERCENT OVER LAST 30 DAYS DAL DAL 56.312 56.500 62.295% 20.915 18.901 38.962 * STOCH BUY FAST FAST 53.875 53.750 107.909% 85.714 82.028 67.595 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE FTU FTU 44.312 42.750 150.342% 25.490 17.195 37.945 * RSI BUY GGC GGC 16.312 15.875 381.612% 86.486 79.802 67.837 * VOLUME BREAKOUT 381.612 PERCENT OVER LAST 30 DAYS GTE GTE 70.125 69.625 121.824% 92.388 91.074 63.142 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE HIT HIT 87.625 86.062 158.405% 98.446 97.970 78.985 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE ITA ITA 14.875 14.812 338.411% 87.500 79.405 58.180 * VOLUME BREAKOUT 338.411 PERCENT OVER LAST 30 DAYS KLAC KLAC 58.000 57.750 63.275% 95.782 91.756 65.582 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE KO KO 64.562 63.875 122.322% 14.679 14.509 40.141 * STOCH BUY LSI LSI 44.250 45.062 147.541% 95.445 94.934 66.453 * RSI SELL LTD LTD 45.375 44.812 79.584% 10.131 9.599 44.574 * STOCH BUY MO MO 41.500 42.438 72.573% 82.870 84.921 59.317 * STOCH SELL MOT MOT 90.375 89.688 75.370% 95.070 86.673 61.388 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE NVX NVX 4.438 4.500 140.455% 25.806 22.085 42.148 * STOCH BUY ORCL ORCL 34.875 32.938 238.153% 84.257 72.921 71.618 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE SIII SIII 9.688 9.031 308.791% 91.111 86.055 78.133 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE * VOLUME BREAKOUT 308.791 PERCENT OVER LAST 30 DAYS TRF TRF 15.688 15.500 62.217% 92.537 90.873 68.218 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE UNH UNH 67.250 68.250 66.949% 87.383 89.894 59.794 * STOCH SELL WMS WMS 15.875 15.500 102.800% 99.067 98.914 74.603 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE XOMA XOMA 6.125 5.938 67.367% 77.953 80.163 69.370 * STOCH SELL PFE PFE 100.438 99.125 89.500% 20.663 16.616 39.759 * STOCH BUY AVX AVX 26.938 25.625 293.356% 87.419 85.642 84.461 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE IRF IRF 11.000 11.375 81.040% 75.728 79.094 54.169 * STOCH SELL ELBTF ELBTF 8.188 7.875 201.420% 96.124 88.841 72.934 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE IOM IOM 4.375 4.125 120.205% 32.500 23.405 45.939 * STOCH BUY WDC WDC 6.500 6.875 294.973% 2.740 2.383 30.244 * STOCH BUY EWJ EWJ 12.625 12.438 137.337% 94.118 91.693 66.346 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE EWM EWM 6.750 6.750 38.659% 88.000 88.986 62.725 * STOCH SELL ROS ROS 9.125 9.000 21.364% 81.159 80.978 69.682 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE TOM TOM 69.750 68.125 79.986% 14.134 12.198 45.014 * STOCH BUY NT NT 86.000 84.875 94.700% 82.888 81.834 66.600 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE ERICY ERICY 31.562 31.500 62.836% 92.636 92.912 71.334 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE TNT TNT 3.875 4.000 89.289% 89.394 90.530 66.790 * STOCH SELL * RSI SELL TLAB TLAB 66.625 64.750 105.280% 85.452 77.373 64.780 * PRICE BREAKOUT ABOVE 50 DAY HIGH OF CLOSE

To: MythMan who wrote (47855)	6/17/1999 6:14:00 PM
From: Robert	Read Replies (7) \| Respond to of 86076

To the thread -- An observation from a semi-regular participant: assuming people are being more or less honest, and given the vicious nature of the financial markets (they find a way to make the most people lose the most money), I think this thread is flashing the most bearish signal of all. We have Luc's spirit seemingly broken, Myth going long (INTC! Wow!), AR (sorry, AntMan <g>) making a very convincing argument that we are all fighting a losing battle with the conspiracy theories, etc., former heroes being mocked with no <g>'s -- Earlie, MB, Fleck. Tip has basically stopped posting. I mean, at the risk of getting flamed, let's review the facts for a second. Bond yields -- even assuming a move back to 5.75%, they are WAY above where they were at the beginning of the year. Yet at the same time, the stock market has taken off. Quality of corporate earnings -- as Richebacher says, the 16% compounded growth rate in corporate profits between 1990 and 1997 was DUE ENTIRELY to 3 items. . . (1) corporate taxes were lowered; (2) interest rates came down dramatically; and (3) corporations were cutting back thus depreciation charges against earnings dropped. Ex these three impacts during the period, corporate profits actually increased at less than the post war 6% annual rates. International scene -- we have troubling geopolitical issues between (a) North and South Korea, (b) India and Pakistan, and (c) China and U.S. A good friend told me today that China has drastically stepped up the importation of virtually EVERYTHING. Word is that the amount of buying is across the board (raw materials, tools,etc) and MASSIVE. Could this presage a Chinese devaluation in the near future? Coupled with Japan's recent intervention that took the yen down in value (which can't have made the Chinese exporters happy) I can see a Chinese devaluation as being the next flash point in the markets. Such a devaluation could spark another round of Asian devaluations and perhaps blow up some derivatives. If nothing else, it's something else to watch. Add to this the non-recovery recovery in Japan, and you have a scary world out there. Y2K -- Major psychological impact at the very least. And it is rapidly approaching. Perhaps Don Hays is right about the mirror of last year. Imagine Y2K paranoia combined with the usual Sept/Oct uneasiness. In short, there are a lot of candidates out there for a catalyst leading to a significant correction. A "BK"? Maybe not. But serious trouble yes. Do I know which it will be, or when the trouble begins? No. But performing a probability-magnitude analysis, I am willing to forego some seemingly easy gains on the upside and even lose some money on puts to avoid being completely wiped out in a severe correction. Maybe I lose a few grand here and there on puts at the worst, but I plan on being around to grab assets on the cheap in a major way when things shake out. The whole point of MB's 90/10 options strategy is to avoid a crushing loss of capital. If you adhere to that strategy, which I personally think is brilliant, you will be just fine even in a worst case scenario. Anyhow, enough rambling. Back to my Sunbeam cardboard box for some Mad Dog 20/20 (Thunderchicken has nothing on the Dawg!) -- Robert