SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Systems, Strategies and Resources for Trading Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SE who wrote (25459)6/17/1999 6:37:00 PM
From: Nemer  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 44573
 
SPY vs ES9x

PS - I knew you would not let that go without comment! LOL!

I, myself, found Pat's response to be mild mannered, so I feel the urge to chunk out a few figures on this matter ......

Forget the PREM burn...chump change...and the divids to boot......

hmmmm ..
premmie is gonna average about 16 points per quarter ... that amounts to $800

then there is the loss of money market interest for the margin/maintance for one emimi .... lets call that about $200

and four commish .... about $100

appx total for one emimi for one year ...
>>>>>>>>>> $1100

Now, on the SPY side of expenses ...

loss of interest on tied up money ... about $130

commish ... about $20

dividends (off the top of my head, and I'm not going to waste time looking it up) is about a plus $30

appx total expenses for 20 SPY for one year ...
$120

If I didn't forget anything, which I know this brickhead did ..
it cost appx $1100 to own an emimi and it cost appx $120 (second year cost would be lessened by the 20 buck commish, but we'll put that into chump change dept ..... gggggg)
so that is a difference of appx $980

now this is the amount that, it appears to me the ol brickhead, that the leverage of the emini will have to overcome ...
and I am now feeling overcome with fatigue from all these figures so I'll leave the determination of how far the market has to rise to compensate to others here on the tread ...

and

for the sake of discussion, we will assume the market will rise ...

but

in a down market, the figures will be altered, but remain fairly "respectively" balanced , for one could be short the emimi and short the SPY ....
but that is another matter of debate ..

and I don't know how to act when I find myself in agreement with the Blue Celt Warrior ...... gggggg

BrickheadNemer

ps -- I have purposefully implanted ONE serious error into this dissertation ... who's going to find it AND the others ...... gggggg



To: SE who wrote (25459)6/17/1999 9:31:00 PM
From: Patrick Slevin  Respond to of 44573
 
No, I'm just more reluctant to hold a Futures position through drawdowns than I would be equity.

Personal preference. I like to sleep at night, although it may not look that way as I often Post at odd hours.



To: SE who wrote (25459)6/17/1999 10:19:00 PM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 44573
 
In theory the difference between the margin interest you'd pay leveraging the SPY that much (which you aren't allow to do) and the premium on the futures is the dividends you get on the SPY and not on the futures. It is only a question of how much leverage you are happy with.

David