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Technology Stocks : All About Sun Microsystems -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: cheryl williamson who wrote (17238)6/21/1999 3:03:00 PM
From: Marvin Mansky  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 64865
 
READ THIS: from Bear Stearns.Andrew J. Neff (212) 272-4247 June 21,1999
aneff@bear.com
Shaw Wu (212) 272-5928
swu@bear.com
William Bao Bean (212) 272-6915
wbean@bear.com

Subject:
Industry: Enterprise Wide Servers

BEAR, STEARNS & CO. INC.
EQUITY RESEARCH

Sun Microsystems, Inc. (SUNW 62.25) - Buy
Focus Stock Of The Week: Sun At The Center Of The Universe

______________________________________________________________________________
Data
Shares Out 823.5 Market Cap(MM) $48,895

______________________________________________________________________________
Key Points
*** As we review the takeaways from our Technology Conference, all roads lead
back to Sun Microsystems as the provider of infrastructure for the Internet
and for the new generation of application service providers (ASPs).
*** Sun's key strengths are its core technology (Sparc microprocessor, Solaris
operating system, scalability), its vision of a networked world and its
history of execution. Strategically, Sun's continues to focus on expanding
its product line, its sales force and the available market for its products
from its historic base in the technical market into the commercial, telecom,
NT server environment, consumer markets increasing the potential for above-
average growth.
*** Business trends remain strong in all geographies and in most product
lines. We are maintaining our estimates for FY1999 of $1.40, for FY2000 of
$1.65 and for FY2001 of $2.00.
______________________________________________________________________________
Earning Estimates P/E
Q1 Sep Q2 Dec Q3 Mar Q4 Jun Year Year
1999 0.25 0.34 0.35 0.46 1.40 44.5x
2000 0.29 0.38 0.41 0.57 1.65 37.7x
2001 0.36 0.47 0.51 0.66 2.00 31.1x

______________________________________________________________________________

Focus Stock. We picked Sun Microsystems as our Focus Stock is because we feel
that Sun best epitomizes the trends discussed at our Technology Conference,
including our "Virtual Computer Conference" including the growth of the
Internet and e-commerce, growth of ASP's (application service providers), and
transformation of the telecom world to IP (internet protocol) standards used
in the datacom world. We think of Sun as the "Internet Enabler" or the
company which is best positioned to supply the "dot.com" companies and those
Global 2000 who wish to "dot.com" their companies.

Full Product Line. Sun plays in all the growth opportunities with its full
suite of hardware, software, and services including fault-tolerant, highly
scaleable server technology (Solaris OS, Ultra-SPARC architecture), unique
partnership with AOL for e-commerce, and interoperability with Java, Jini, and
Project Cascade technology.

Highlights from the Virtual Keynote. On Monday, June 14, CEO Scott McNealy
was a keynote speaker at the Bear Stearns "Virtual Computer Conference". Here
are our key take-aways:
The Vision Thing. We think McNealy as one of the most visionary leaders in
the technology world which is one of the driving forces behind Sun's vision
and strategy. We believe his vision of Sun as the dot.com infrastructure
supplier of choice highlights our thesis that one of Sun's key strengths is
its ability to leverage off its technology portfolio of software and hardware
to create new market opportunities and applications that drive further growth.
For example, Java and Jini as stand-alone units may not appear to contribute
to Sun's top and bottom lines, however, they have been key to Sun in gaining
new customers and entering new market segments. We have seen this recently as
Sun has penetrated into the data center and telco central office markets with
its "write-once, run anywhere" Java and its fault-tolerance server technology.
In the future, we believe Java and Jini have potential to become significant
contributors as the technologies become more widely deployed in clients,
servers, alternative computing devices, and embedded applications like set-top
boxes, cell phones, and smart cards.
Quarter Appears on Track. The upcoming 4Q99 (June) quarter appears on track,
we are looking for $0.46 vs. $0.36 (also the First Call average) on top of 19%
revenue growth to $3.4 billion - we believe this estimate may turn out to be
conservative owing to the strong momentum in the U.S. and Japan from ISPs
(Internet Service Providers) and Telecom companies due to Sun's stronger focus
on these highest growth markets.
eBay, Transvirtual Not Significant Issues. While there was concern about the
role of Sun's Solaris software in the eBay outage along with word of
Microsoft's backing of Transvirtual, a Java clone developer, we would view
these as short-term distractions.

Maintaining Estimates and Buy Rating. We are maintaining our estimates of
$1.65 for FY2000 and $2.00 for FY2001. We continue to rate Sun Micro a Buy to
reflect our belief that the company remains one of the best ways to play the
explosive growth of enterprise servers, e-commerce, and server consolidation.
We believe the company's strong fundamentals remain intact with the prospect
of further upside surprises owing to favorable demand trends. We view the
current weakness in the stock as an opportunity to add to positions.

Companies mentioned: AOL
First Call Corporation - all rights reserved. 617/345-2500

END OF NOTE



To: cheryl williamson who wrote (17238)6/21/1999 10:41:00 PM
From: James Wamsley  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 64865
 
Well, you folks have been a real help to me in deciding my near term actions. The high PE and YPEGR on SUNW, my current >200% gain in the stock and the thread's nearly hysterical reaction to MD's routine PR, have all convinced me to sell SUNW and buy DELL (which is undervalued for the near term). Methinks thou doth protest too much!



To: cheryl williamson who wrote (17238)6/22/1999 7:52:00 AM
From: Stormweaver  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 64865
 
>> DELL is a screwdriver

DELL is an open iron vendor (at least), while Sun is a
proprietary iron vendor. Open iron gives the customer the ability
to chose what OS they will run.

I think Michael was right on this call ...
"that comes from the guys at Sun Microsystems and places like that, who are basically trying to disrupt the tremendous market momentum that exists around the PC industry, which they rightly see as a threat to their franchise. The first reason they are wrong is that the market has already told them they are wrong, which is the best litmus test of all. Sure, there are certain forms of 'server-based' computing, but there's only a tiny percentage of the market going that way."

McNealy knows Sun only makes decent margins in the high end and that's why they are trying to push us back to the 70's view of big iron and dumb terminals (net appliances). This model is not a feasible strategy for competing with Wintel; unless you want to trade in that PC your typing on for a Java Station Cheryl ? Sun continues to ignore the desktop and one day soon it will bite them right in the you know what ;)