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Pastimes : Kosovo -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: goldsnow who wrote (12641)6/22/1999 10:48:00 PM
From: George Papadopoulos  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
Los Angeles Times
Sunday, June 20, 1999

POLITICS
Kosovo's the First 'Third Way' War
By WILLIAM SCHNEIDER

WASHINGTON--President Bill Clinton calls his legacy the "third way."
He believes it's sweeping the world. The war in Kosovo is very much a
part of that legacy: It's the first third-way war.
The third way is a new progressive politics, practiced by a new
generation of world leaders identified with the moderate left. As
British Prime Minister Tony Blair explained at a third-way conference
in April, "It's distinguishable both from the old left politics of
heavy-handed intervention and the new right politics of laissez
faire."
"The reason people have been going for a third way is that both
of those tracks have been discovered to be misorientations," German
Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder asserted. "They are misguided ways." Hmmm
. . . something equidistant from the old left and the new right.
Sounds like . . . aha! Triangulation!
Clinton, the old triangulator himself, claims to be the third
way's founding father. Under his administration, the third way passed
its first test. As Clinton put it, "If you look at the third-way
challenge in America, for the Democratic Party, it meant we had to
prove we could manage the economy in an intelligent way."
The third way has to prove it can succeed where the old left
failed. The old left failed in the 1970s, in both the U.S. and Europe,
for two reasons. It couldn't manage the economy. And it couldn't
manage national security. For example, under Jimmy Carter, the last
Democratic president, Americans felt the country lost power and
influence in the world.
Clinton claims Kosovo has solved that problem. "We have achieved
a victory for a safer world, for our democratic values and for a
stronger America," he told the nation on June 10. Senior White House
aide Sidney D. Blumenthal makes a grander claim: "We have reconciled
ourselves with the great traditions of American foreign policy and
with the older generation that fought World War II."
Exactly what is it that makes Kosovo a third-way war?
The leaders, for one thing. Blumenthal said, "This is the first
time the alliance has been led by leaders who share a common political
and programmatic outlook."
But it's also the policy. Conservatives believe in toughness.
Clinton's Kosovo policy was tough. But conservatives insist the United
States should take action only when its vital interests are at stake.
Kosovo did not pass that test. U.S. forces "shouldn't be put in harm's
way for something that isn't in the national interest," Sen. Robert C.
Smith (R-N.H.) said. "Everybody understood that the U.S. had vital
interests in the Persian Gulf," military analyst Joseph J. Collins
observed. "Kosovo was important, it was humanitarian, but it was not a
vital interest."
The right repudiated Kosovo, calling it, contemptuously,
"Clinton's war." For the first time, the House of Representatives
refused to endorse a U.S. military mission that was underway.
The old left believes foreign policy should be driven by moral
values. Clinton's Kosovo policy fit that model. But the left rejects
militarism. Clinton didn't. So the old left joined the new right in
repudiating Kosovo. "If you want to understand what the left position
has been on this war," Laura Flanders of Pacifica Radio said in April,
"you just need to look at the line that has been consistent since the
Vietnam War: that militarism is not the solution to conflict."
What do you call a policy that steals from right and left but is
attacked by both? The third way.
The three third-way leaders--Clinton, Blair and Schroeder--come
out of the anti-Vietnam War generation. That colored their Kosovo
policy. "Particularly for Clinton," Collins said, "the whole notion of
large-scale casualties became something almost unthinkable."
Conservatives argued that the refusal to risk casualties made the
policy unworkable. "I don't think you can bomb a country into
submitting to a peace agreement," Sen. Don Nickles (R-Okla.) said in
March. Liberals claimed it made the policy immoral. "A war that began
for humanitarian intentions is now causing humanitarian damage,"
Katrina vanden Heuvel, editor of the Nation, said in May.
Military analysts called the allied strategy in Kosovo "stupid"
and "amateurish." So what do they make of the fact that it seems to
have worked? Not much. "It is not good for the United States or the
international community to come away from this horrible experience
with the assumption that you can have bloodless wars on our side and
do it all from the air," said former Marine Corps Lt. Gen. Bernard E.
Trainor. In the view of former Adm. Leighton W. Smith, "This is going
to be an example in all the war colleges throughout the world of how
not to employ the military in pursuit of strategic objectives."
They sound like the expert in Alfred Hitchcock's film "The Lady
Vanishes," who, when presented with evidence refuting his theory,
responds indignantly, "Nonsense. My theory is perfectly correct. It is
the facts that are misleading."
But did the strategy really work? A peace agreement on the North
Atlantic Treaty Organization's terms looks pretty convincing. So does
the withdrawal of Yugoslav troops from Kosovo.
Critics, however, point out that in terms of Clinton's objective
of "deterring a bloody offensive against innocent civilians in
Kosovo," the NATO campaign may have made the situation worse. Yugoslav
President Slobodan Milosevic used the initial weeks of bombing to
complete the ruthless ethnic cleansing.
Moreover, Milosevic is still in power. Many Americans soured on
the Gulf War because, eight years later, Saddam Hussein remains in
power. They may apply that lesson to Kosovo. Which is why Clinton said
to the people of Yugoslavia on June 10, "As long as your nation is
ruled by an indicted war criminal, we will provide no support for the
reconstruction of Serbia."
So far, the U.S. public's response to Kosovo has been tepid.
Clinton's job rating is 60%, where it has been for most of the last
two months. There has been no huge peace dividend for Clinton, nothing
like the acclaim President George Bush enjoyed after the Gulf War.
To the American public, Kosovo looks more like a lucky break than
a brilliant strategy. Most Americans do not think the Clinton
administration has a clear, well-thought-out policy in Kosovo,
according to the Gallup Poll. Too many blunders, like bombing the
Chinese Embassy and conflicts with Russia. In fact, most Americans
don't even call the outcome in Kosovo a U.S. victory. Not with a
million Kosovars displaced and thousands killed.
Kosovo is likely to remain a political battleground, even if the
peace deal holds. For one thing, U.S. engagement in Kosovo has become
intensely partisan. Nearly 60% of Republicans say it was a mistake for
the U.S. to get involved. Almost two-thirds of Democrats say the U.S.
did the right thing. Republicans nationwide seem to echo the view of
the GOP Congress that this was "Clinton's war."
The war seemed to shatter a lot of conventional wisdom. Like, no
war has ever been won by air power alone. It looks like NATO did just
that. But critics point to the fact that, in the end, the threat of
allied ground troops was becoming real.
The war also put human rights above a nation's sovereignty.
"Finally, thank God," supporters say. "It's what should have been done
in the 1930s." Critics say it means the U.S. has become policeman to
the world.
How's this for an amazing outcome: Russia saved NATO. Russian
President Boris N. Yeltsin decided his country's future lay with the
West, not with Serbia, though opinion in Russia is overwhelmingly
anti-NATO. Yeltsin abandoned Milosevic at a key moment, when a NATO
decision on ground troops was impending. Yeltsin wanted a payoff, and
he got one: a major role for Russian troops in Kosovo, independent of
NATO.
Imagine the political liability for Vice President Al Gore if
U.S. troops had been fighting on the ground during next year's
presidential campaign. Or if the standoff continued and Americans were
seeing pictures of freezing refugees next winter. The Serbs broke,
under Russian pressure, just as Clinton was about to face that
difficult choice. Clinton owes Yeltsin, big time. And that, like
everything else associated with this war, is going to be the subject
of continuing debate.
If Kosovo was a third-way war, does it become a model for future
U.S. engagements? As one foreign-policy expert put it, "For Clinton,
Kosovo was like Monica. He got away with it. But he doesn't ever want
to have to go through it again."
The U.S. public feels pretty much the same way. Americans don't
feel triumphant about Kosovo. They feel relieved.*

- - -

William Schneider, a Contributing Editor to Opinion, Is a Political
Analyst for Cnn





To: goldsnow who wrote (12641)6/22/1999 10:51:00 PM
From: George Papadopoulos  Respond to of 17770
 
This court is a fraud

AN IMPARTIAL TRIBUNAL?
by Christopher Black
_________________________________________________________________

The indictment of Slobodan Milosevic for alleged war crimes has raised
serious questions about the impartiality of the International Criminal
Tribunal. For centuries, the independence of judicial bodies has been
considered one of the fundamental precepts of the quest for justice.
As Lord Hewart stated in 1924, it is "...of fundamental importance
that justice should not only be done, but should manifestly and
undoubtedly be seen to be done." It has also been said that there is
nothing more important than the public administration of justice. But
in the case of the International Criminal Tribunal a compelling
argument can be made that private justice has replaced public justice,
that even the appearance of fundamental justice has been replaced by
an open contempt for justice.

The governing statute of the Tribunal states in Article 16 that the
Prosecutor shall act independently as a separate organ of the Tribunal
and shall not seek or receive instruction from any government or any
other source. Article 32 states that the expenses of the Tribunal
shall be borne by the regular budget of the United Nations. The
Tribunal has openly and continuously violated both of these
provisions.

The Tribunal from the outset was the creation of the United States
Government. Its motives are clear from the preliminary discussions in
the Security Council on the creation of the court which focused almost
entirely on crimes allegedly committed by Serbs and their leadership.
Since its inception it has kept this focus. The majority of
indictments have been directed at Serbs even though there is
substantial evidence of the commission of serious war crimes by Croats
and Bosnian Muslims.

It must also be kept in mind that the United States has for 30 years
blocked every attempt to create a truly international criminal court.
It has refused to even consider the ratification of new treaty
establishing such a court. It wants any prosecutions by such a court
to be approved by the Security Council subject to its right of veto.
It is opposed to universal jurisdiction and it opposes an independent
prosecutor. All for fear that its soldiers and officials, from
Kissinger to Clinton would be subject to indictments for war crimes.
Jesse Helms, the conservative U.S. Senator once remarked that such a
treaty, if presented to Congress for ratification would be "dead on
arrival".

There is strong evidence that the Tribunal for Yugoslavia, although
neutral and independent on paper, was created and is staffed and
funded primarily by the United States precisely because it will not
act against the hand that feeds it; that its purpose is to provide a
legal cover for American political and economic objectives.

The Tribunal itself, through its senior officials openly brags about
its close ties to the American government. In her remarks to the
United States Supreme Court in Washington, D.C. on April 5th of this
year, Judge Gabrielle Kirk Mcdonald, President of the Tribunal, and an
American stated, "We benefited from the strong support of concerned
governments and dedicated individuals such as Secretary Albright. As
the permanent representative to the United Nations, she had worked
with unceasing resolve to establish the Tribunal. Indeed, we often
refer to her as the "mother of the Tribunal". If she is the mother
then Bill Clinton is the father, as Louise Arbour confirmed by her
action of reporting to the President of the United States the decision
to indict Milosevic two days before she announced it to the rest of
the world, in blatant violation of her duty to remain independent.
Further, the prosecutor has made several public appearances with U.S
officials, including Madeleine Albright, and she openly states that
she relies on NATO governments for her investigations, governments
which have a great interest in the undermining of the Serb leadership.

The Tribunal has received substantial funds from individual States,
private foundations and corporations in violation of Article 32 of its
Charter. Much of its money has come from the U.S. government directly
in cash and donations of computer equipment. In the last year for
which public figures are available, 1994/95, the U.S. provided
$700,000 in cash and $2,300,000 worth of equipment. That same year the
Open Society Institute, a foundation established by George Soros, the
American billionaire financier, to bring "openness" to the former east
bloc countries contributed $150,000 and the Rockefeller family,
through the Rockefeller Foundation, contributed $50,000.

The Tribunal also receives money from the United States Institute for
Peace for its outreach project. This Institution is " an independent,
non-partisan federal institution created and funded by Congress to
strengthen the nation's capacity to promote the peaceful resolution of
international conflict." Established in 1984 under Ronald Reagan, its
Board of Directors is appointed by the President of the United States.
The Tribunal also receives support from the Coalition For
International Justice whose purpose is to enhance public opinion of
the Tribunal. The CIJ was founded and is funded by George Soros' Open
Society Institute and something called CEELI, the Central and East
European Law Institute, created by the American Bar Association and
lawyers close to the U.S. government to promote the replacement of
socialist legal systems with free market ones.

These groups also have supplied many of the legal staff of the
Tribunal. In her speech to the Supreme Court, Judge Mcdonald said,
"The Tribunal has been well served by the tremendous work of a number
of lawyers who have come to the Tribunal through the CIJ and CEELI..."
It is also interesting to note that the occasion of Judge McDonalds
speech was her acceptance of an award from the American Bar
Association and CEELI. In the same speech she also said," We are now
seeking funding from states and foundations to carry out this critical
effort."

On April 19th Judge McDonald "expressed her deep appreciation to the
U.S. Government for its pledge of $500,000 for the Outreach project
which was announced on April 16 by Harold Koh, U.S. Assistant
Secretary of State.

In her speech to the Council On Foreign Relations in New York on May
12 of this year Judge McDonald stated," The U.S. government has very
generously agreed to provide $500,000 and to help to encourage other
States to contribute. However, the moral imperative to end the
violence in the region is shared by all, including the corporate
sector. I am pleased, therefore, that a major corporation has recently
donated computer equipment worth three million dollars, which will
substantially enhance our operating capacity."

No citizen of any country in the world would consider himself or
herself fairly tried before a court which claimed to be independent
and unbiased paid for by private citizens or corporations which had a
direct stake in the outcome of the trial. It is a well established
principle of law that a party in a legal action, whether civil or
criminal, is entitled to ask for the removal of any judge sitting on
the case when there exists a reasonable apprehension of bias. In this
instance, a compelling argument can be made that the bias is not only
apprehended. It is real.

Will Slobodan Milosevic have a fair trial if he is taken? Will the
leaders of NATO, who have also been accused of war crimes before the
tribunal by legal experts around the world, including Canadians, even
be investigated? The answers to these questions lie not in the high
sounding phrases of the Tribunal's statute but in the realities of
political and financial control. Christopher Black is a Toronto
defence lawyer and writer and is one of the lawyers who made the
request to the War Crimes Tribunal to indict NATO leaders for war
crimes.

Christopher Black is a Toronto defence lawyer and writer and is one of
the lawyers who made the request to the War Crimes Tribunal to indict
NATO leaders for war crimes.

He recently returned from Bonn, Germany where he was a guest speaker
at a conference on the causes and consequences of the war in
Yugoslavia. It was organised by German, French and British
journalists, writers, publishers, scientists, physicians, historians
and legal experts for the purpose of exchanging information and
developing a collective resistance to the "New World Order".



To: goldsnow who wrote (12641)6/22/1999 10:54:00 PM
From: George Papadopoulos  Respond to of 17770
 
Proof there was a low level conflict between terrorists and security forces BEFORE NATO started bombing...

German Government Report
Americans Against World Empire


Friends,
Very important documents. German govt. reports state that no extensive
persecution of Albanians in Kosovo was taking place prior to the Nato
bombing. ( The German govt. nonetheless supported the bombing
decision. ) This revelation completely undercuts the pro-war argument
that Nato bombing was intended to prevent "genocide." It is not that
the "genocide" or "ethnic cleansing" accelerated after the bombing; it
simply did not exist prior to the bombing--it began with the bombing.
The documents point out that the Serbian forces were fighting the KLA,
not Albanians in general.
Steve Sniegoski
zmag.org
INTERNAL DOCUMENTS
FROM GERMANY'S FOREIGN OFFICE
REGARDING PRE-BOMBARDMENT
GENOCIDE IN KOSOVO

From official documents by the International Association of Lawyers
Against Nuclear Arms as published by the
German daily junge welt on April 24.
Translated by Eric Canepa of the Brecht Forum, New York.

JUNGE WELT
As in the case of the Clinton Administration, the present regime in
Germany, specifically Joschka Fischer's Foreign Office, has justified
its
intervention in Kosovo by pointing to a "humanitarian catastrophe,"
"genocide" and "ethnic cleansing" occurring there, especially in the
months immediately preceding the NATO attack. The following internal
documents from Fischer's ministry and from various regional
Administrative Courts in Germany spanning the year before the start of
NATO's air attacks, attest that criteria of ethnic cleansing and
genocide
were not met. The Foreign Office documents were responses to the
courts' needs in deciding the status of Kosovo-Albanian refugees in
Germany. Although one might in these cases suppose a bias in favor of
downplaying a humanitarian catastrophe in order to limit refugees, it
nevertheless remains highly significant that the Foreign Office, in
contrast
to its public assertion of ethnic cleansing and genocide in justifying
NATO intervention, privately continued to deny their existence as
Yugoslav policy in this crucial period. And this continued to be their
assessment even in March of this year. Thus these documents tend to
show that stopping genocide was not the reason the German government,
and by implication NATO, intervened in Kosovo, and that genocide (as
understood in German and international law) in Kosovo did not precede
NATO bombardment, at least not from early 1998 through March, 1999,
but is a product of it.
Excerpts from the these official documents were obtained by IALANA
(International Association of Lawyers Against Nuclear Arms) which sent
them to various media. The texts used here were published in the
German
daily junge welt on April 24, 1999. (See
jungewelt.de as well as the commentary
at jungewelt.de. According to my
sources, this is as complete a reproduction of the documents as exists
in
the German media at the time of this writing. What follows is my
translation of these published excerpts.
Eric Canepa Brecht Forum, New York April 28, 1999
I: Intelligence report from the Foreign Office January 6, 1999 to the
Bavarian Administrative Court, Ansbach:
"At this time, an increasing tendency is observable inside the
Federal Republic of Yugoslavia of refugees returning to their
dwellings. ... Regardless of the desolate economic situation in
the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (according to official
information of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia 700,000
refugees from Croatia, Bosnia and Herzogovina have found
lodging since 1991), no cases of chronic malnutrition or
insufficient medical treatment among the refugees are known
and significant homelessness has not been observed. ...
According to the Foreign Office's assessment, individual
Kosovo-Albanians (and their immediate families) still have
limited possibilities of settling in those parts of Yugoslavia in
which their countrymen or friends already live and who are
ready to take them in and support them."
II. Intelligence report from the Foreign Office, January 12, 1999 to
the
Administrative Court of Trier (Az: 514-516.80/32 426):
"Even in Kosovo an explicit political persecution linked to
Albanian ethnicity is not verifiable. The East of Kosovo is still
not involved in armed conflict. Public life in cities like Pristina,
Urosevac, Gnjilan, etc. has, in the entire conflict period,
continued on a relatively normal basis." The "actions of the
security forces (were) not directed against the
Kosovo-Albanians as an ethnically defined group, but against
the military opponent and its actual or alleged supporters."
III. Report of the Foreign Office March 15, 1999 (Az:
514-516,80/33841)
to the Administrative Court, Mainz:
"As laid out in the status report of November 18, 1998, the
KLA has resumed its positions after the partial withdrawal of
the (Serbian) security forces in October 1998, so it once
again controls broad areas in the zone of conflict. Before the
beginning of spring 1999 there were still clashes between the
KLA and security forces, although these have not until now
reached the intensity of the battles of spring and summer
1998."
IV: Opinion of the Bavarian Administrative Court, October 29, 1998
(Az:
22 BA 94.34252):
"The Foreign Office's status reports of May 6, June 8 and July
13, 1998, given to the plaintiffs in the summons to a verbal
deliberation, do not allow the conclusion that there is group
persecution of ethnic Albanians from Kosovo. Not even
regional group persecution, applied to all ethnic Albanians
from a specific part of Kosovo, can be observed with sufficient
certainty. The violent actions of the Yugoslav military and
police since February 1998 were aimed at separatist
activities and are no proof of a persecution of the whole
Albanian ethnic group in Kosovo or in a part of it. What was
involved in the Yugoslav violent actions and excesses since
February 1998 was a selective forcible action against the
military underground movement (especially the KLA) and
people in immediate contact with it in its areas of operation.
...A state program or persecution aimed at the whole ethnic
group of Albanians exists neither now nor earlier."
V. Opinion of the Administrative Court of Baden-Württemberg, February
4, 1999 (Az: A 14 S 22276/98):
"The various reports presented to the senate all agree that the
often feared humanitarian catastrophe threatening the
Albanian civil population has been averted. ... This appears to
be the case since the winding down of combat in connection
with an agreement made with the Serbian leadership at the
end of 1998 (Status Report of the Foreign Office, November
18, 1998). Since that time both the security situation and the
conditions of life of the Albanian-derived population have
noticeably improved. ... Specifically in the larger cities public
life has since returned to relative normality (cf. on this Foreign
Office, January 12, 1999 to the Administrative Court of Trier;
December 28, 1998 to the Upper Administrative Court of
Lüneberg and December 23, 1998 to the Administrative Court
at Kassel), even though tensions between the population
groups have meanwhile increased due to individual acts of
violence... Single instances of excessive acts of violence
against the civil population, e.g. in Racak, have, in world
opinion, been laid at the feet of the Serbian side and have
aroused great indignation. But the number and frequency of
such excesses do not warrant the conclusion that every
Albanian living in Kosovo is exposed to extreme danger to life
and limb nor is everyone who returns there threatened with
death and severe injury."
VI: Opinion of the Upper Administrative Court at Münster, February 24,
1999 (Az: 14 A 3840/94,A):
"There is no sufficient actual proof of a secret program, or an
unspoken consensus on the Serbian side, to liquidate the
Albanian people, to drive it out or otherwise to persecute it in
the extreme manner presently described. ... If Serbian state
power carries out its laws and in so doing necessarily puts
pressure on an Albanian ethnic group which turns its back on
the state and is for supporting a boycott, then the objective
direction of these measures is not that of a programmatic
persecution of this population group ...Even if the Serbian
state were benevolently to accept or even to intend that a part
of the citizenry which sees itself in a hopeless situation or
opposes compulsory measures, should emigrate, this still
does not represent a program of persecution aimed at the
whole of the Albanian majority (in Kosovo)."
"If moreover the (Yugoslav) state reacts to separatist strivings
with consistent and harsh execution of its laws and with
anti-separatist measures, and if some of those involved
decide to go abroad as a result, this is still not a deliberate
policy of the (Yugoslav) state aiming at ostracizing and
expelling the minority; on the contrary it is directed toward
keeping this people within the state federation."
"Events since February and March 1998 do not evidence a
persecution program based on Albanian ethnicity. The
measures taken by the armed Serbian forces are in the first
instance directed toward combatting the KLA and its
supposed adherents and supporters."
VII: Opinion of the Upper Administrative Court at Münster, March 11,
1999
(Az: 13A 3894/94.A):
"Ethnic Albanians in Kosovo have neither been nor are now
exposed to regional or countrywide group persecution in the
Federal Republic of Yugoslavia." (Thesis 1)




To: goldsnow who wrote (12641)6/22/1999 11:02:00 PM
From: George Papadopoulos  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
A bit outdated but an excellent account of how the situation on the ground was before the bombing...

ROLAND KEITH is a 32-year career military officer in the Canadian
military. He^Òs a former director of the Kosovo Polje Field Office of
the Kosovo Verification Mission, from which position he returned in
April. He has spoken out against the war from the very beginning, and
has been part of the press conferences and public meetings organized by
the Ad Hoc Committee to Stop Canada's Participation in the War on
Yugoslavia.

FAILURE OF DIPLOMACY
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
[Returning OSCE human rights monitor offers a view from the ground in
Kosovo]

by Rollie Keith

Canada is currently participating in the NATO coalition air bombardment
of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, ostensibly to force compliance
with the terms of the Rambouillet and subsequent Paris "Interim
Agreement for Peace and Self-Government in Kosovo". The justification
for this aggressive action was to force Yugoslavian compliance and
acceptance to the so-called "agreement" and to end the alleged
humanitarian and human rights abuses being perpetrated on the ethnic
majority Kosovar Albanian residents of the Serbi an province of Kosovo.
The bombardment then is rationalized on the basis of the UN Declaration
of Human Rights taking precedence over the UN Charter that states the
inviolability of national sovereignty. While I am concerned with human
rights abuse, I also believe many nations, if not all, would clearly be
vulnerable to this criticism; therefore, we require a better mechanism
to counter national human rights violations than bombing.

What, however, was the situation within Kosovo before March 20, and are
we now being misled with biased media information? Is this aggressive
war really justified to counter alleged humanitarian violations, or are
there problematical premises being applied to justify the hostilities?
Either way, diplomacy has failed and the ongoing air bombardment has
greatly exacerbated an internal humanitarian problem into a disaster.
There were no international refugees over the last five months of the
Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe's (OSCE) presence
within Kosovo and Internal Displaced Persons only numbered a few
thousand in the weeks before the air bombardment commenced.

As an OSCE Kosovo Verification Mission (KVM) monitor during February and
March of this year, I was assigned as the Director of the Kosovo Polje
Field Office, just west of the provincial capital of Pristina. The role
of the 1380 monitors of the KVM, from some 38 of the OSCE's 55 nations,
including 64 Canadians, was authorized under UN Security Council
Resolution 1199 to monitor and verify cease-fire compliance, or
non-compliance, investigate cease-fire violations and unwarranted road
blocks, assist humanitarian agencies in facilitating the resettlement of
displaced persons and assist in democratization measures eventually
leading to elections. The agreement which was the basis of the KVM (I
refer to it as the "Holbrooke-Milosevic agreement") was signed on
October 16, 1998, ending the previous eight months of internal conflict.
Given its international composition, the KVM was organized and deployed
quite slowly and was not fully operational on a partial basis until
early in 1999. By the time I arrived, vehicles and other resources along
with the majority of international monitors were arriving, but the
cease-fire situation was deteriorating with an increasing incidence of
Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA) provocative attacks on the Yugoslavian
security forces. In response the security forces of the Ministry of
Internal Security police supported by the army were establishing random
roadblocks that resulted in some harassment of movement of the majority
Albanian Kosovars. The general situation was, though, that the bulk of
the population had settled down after the previous year's hostilities,
but the KLA was building its strength and was attempting to reorganize
in preparation for a military solution, hopeful of NATO or western
military support. Consequently the October Holbrooke-Milosevic agreement
restraining the Internal Security police and army was not strictly
adhered to, as unauthorized forces were deployed to maintain security
within the major communities and internal lines of communication. In my
estimation, however, the KLA was left in control of much of the
hinterland unchallenged, comprising at least some fifty per cent of the
province. In addition the parallel Albanian government of the Kosovo
Democratic League (KDL) continued to provide some leadership to the
majority of the Albanian Kosovars.

This low intensity war since the end of 1998 had resulted in a series of
incidents against the security forces, which in turn led to some
heavy-handed security operations, one being the alleged "massacre" at
Racak of some 45 Albanian Kosovars in mid-January. [NOTE; the "Racak
massacre" was so identified by William Walker, an Ameican diplomat
leading an OSCE war crimes verification team. Walker's sordid career,
described in the APPENDIX to the present article, throws considerable
doubt on the veracity of his account of this event, which Javier Solana
himself identifies as a turning point in the development of the Kosovo
crisis.]

Upon my arrival the war increasingly evolved into a mid intensity
conflict as ambushes, the encroachment of critical lines of
communication and the kidnapping of security forces resulted in a
significant increase in government casualties which in turn led to major
Yugoslavian reprisal security operations that included armour,
mechanized forces and artillery to secure there same lines of
communication. By the beginning of March these terror and counter-terror
operations led to the inhabitants of numerous villages fleeing, or being
dispersed to either other villages, cities or the hills to seek refuge.
As monitors we attempted to follow and report on these cease-fire
violations, but I and my fellow monitors also continued to work with
both Kosovo factions and the internally-displaced population to promote
the other aspects of our mission. In particular within our field office
area of responsibility, we were making progress to facilitate the
resettlement of an unoccupied village from the previous summer, while
six other villages were about to be abandoned due to the increasing
hostilities. As an example of this humanitarian work, we had conducted
some dozen negotiating sessions with both belligerents as well as
displaced villagers. Our objective was to create conditions of
confidence and stability and commence the resettlement of the village of
Donje Grabovac. This village of some 700 former inhabitants sits next to
a major coal mine guarded by security forces, which fuels an adjacent
thermal generating plant. On the other side of the village, less than a
kilometre away, the KLA also occupied another village. Donje Grobovac
was the scene of daily shooting incidents and in this case most were
probably initiated by the mine guards. Regardless, tensions were high
and fatal casualties and kidnapping of mine and security forces by the
KLA had occurred prior to our arrival. After our lengthy series of
negotiations, all participants agreed not to provoke their opponents and
we were about to escort former village delegations back to commence
resettlement. If this kind of program could have been expanded and built
upon throughout Kosovo, perhaps supported by an enlarged international
monitoring mission to better reduce the cease-fire violations, I believe
both the international air bombardment and intensified civil war would
have been avoided. But western diplomacy would have to be more flexible
for this to occur.

The situation was clearly that KLA provocations, as personally witnessed
in ambushes of security patrols which inflicted fatal and other
casualties, were clear violations of the previous October's agreement.
The security forces responded and the consequent security harassment and
counter-operations led to an intensified insurrectionary war, but as I
have stated elsewhere, I did not witness, nor did I have knowledge of
any incidents of so-called "ethnic cleansing" and there certainly were
no occurrences of "genocidal policies" while I was with the KVM in
Kosovo. What has transpired since the OSCE monitors were evacuated on
March 20, in order to deliver the penultimate warning to force
Yugoslavian compliance with the Rambouillet and subsequent Paris
documents and the commencement of the NATO air bombardment of March 24,
obviously has resulted in human rights abuses and a very significant
humanitarian disaster as some 600,000 Albanian Kosovars have fled or
been expelled from the province. This did not occur, though, before
March 20, so I would attribute the humanitarian disaster directly or
indirectly to the NATO air bombardment and resulting anti-terrorist
campaign.

So what led to this breakdown of the peace process and the air
bombardment? The Rambouillet and subsequent amended Paris ultimatum
"Interim Agreement for Peace and Self-Government in Kosovo" was divided
into both political and military implementation accords. The political
accord called for a return of political, cultural and judicial autonomy
for Kosovo Province as previously provided in the 1974 constitution and
was generally acceptable to both factions. The stumbling block was that
the Serbian delegation insisted on the long-term territorial integrity
of Yugoslavia and the supremacy of federal law. With the KLA desiring
total independence, however, and American compliance, the Albanian
Kosovars were given the incentive of a referendum in three years time to
determine the ultimate political future of Yugoslavia. On the military
accord, the Contact Group, less Russia, and the Ambassador Chris Hill's
demand that a NATO force be employed to secure the Kosovo Implementation
Mission of the proposed plan was also completely unacceptable to
Yugoslavia, since it constituted foreign occupation of their sovereign
territory by the western alliance. In turn, the acceptance by the KLA of
their supervised disarmament was only accepted after American political
inducements of obvious independence were offered. The result then is
that proposed agreements were in fact ultimatums, unacceptable to Russia
as well as Yugoslavia, as they left that nation with the clear
alternative of surrender or bombardment.

Was there a diplomatic alternative? I believe there always has to be
political alternatives to war, although I an not a pacifist and I do
believe that defensive hostilities may be justifiable for the right
cause. The western members of the Contact Group, the European Union and
the United States and the Russian Federation could have worked within
the United Nations and kept the Russians on side. As an inducement to an
enhanced OSCE or UN monitoring presence within Kosovo, Yugoslavia could
have had its 1991 economic sanctions cancelled and economic
restructuring funds offered to promote its integration within the new
Europe, with a guarantee, in return, to eliminate human rights concerns
within Kosovo. This proposed enhanced OSCE presence, perhaps supported
by a limited armed UN presence, may well have been acceptable to the
western power, in order to monitor a fair and genuine Kosovo agreement.

However, the NATO bombardment has been counterproductive, as it has
created a significant European humanitarian problem of more than 600,000
external refugees that threaten to destablize the surrounding vulnerable
nations, exacerbating regional security. Another estimated 600,000 plus
internally-displaced Kosovars are also being subjected to the
deprivations of the full-scale civil war. Then in the end the
international community will also have to rebuild not only Kosovo, but
the rest of Yugoslavian to ensure their future participation in the new
Europe of the 21st century, This is what the failure of diplomacy with
its consequent ill-prepared and ill-conceived air bombardment has
accomplished..

What is crucial to have happen then, is that the unjustified moral
certitude that that has resulted in the demonization and vilification of
Yugoslavia and its nationalist President Milosevic cease, and be
replaced by a rational discourse to enable a fair and just solution to
be agreed to.

NATO has gone to war to prevent the humanitarian expulsion of an ethnic
minority and has caused the catastrophic Kosovo population displacement
to occur. The western government, led by inept diplomats and
politicians, have failed to provide a rational and diplomatic
alternative, and instead have incited an irresponsible public opinion,
whose conscience has led it to demand actions to solve problems that it
does not comprehend. NATO is now in a war that it cannot win. Its
objective of liberating the Kosovo Albanians from Serbian misrule has
been counterproductive, and has resulted in their expulsion. The war has
broken international law, disregarded the UN Charter, and violated the
NATO mandate. This has arguably irrevocably damaged the dreams and
aspirations for rational diplomacy and the rule of law, meant to
establish an international system with limits on great power ambitions.

There were political alternatives to this war, but we also should have
known what would happen. And it did happen. The pointless and degrading
bombing must stop and rational international negotiations must commence.
The alternative is incomprehensible. THE END

>From "The Democrat", May 1999

[Rollie Keith lives in Chilliwack, British Columbia, Canada.




To: goldsnow who wrote (12641)6/22/1999 11:05:00 PM
From: George Papadopoulos  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
STRATFOR's
Global Intelligence Update
June 23, 1999

Iraq Tests Russian and Chinese Resolve

Summary:

Now that Russia and China have demonstrated their willingness to
oppose the U.S. and NATO in Kosovo, Baghdad has decided to try to
force their hand in Iraq. The Iraqi oil minister has threatened
that if Russian and Chinese oil companies do not begin work on
developing Iraqi oil fields -- a move that would violate UN
sanctions against Iraq -- they will have their contracts revoked.
While Iraq may be assuming too much with regard to Russia and
China's willingness to deepen their rift with the West at just
this moment, it is only the first of many countries that will
begin to position themselves between the U.S. and NATO on one
hand and Russia and China on the other in the coming months.

Analysis:

According the Iraqi government run newspaper Al-Iqtisadi and
Iraqi legislators, Iraqi Oil Minister Lt. Gen. Amer Mohammed
Rashid has given Russian and Chinese companies "a few weeks" to
begin work on developing Iraqi oil fields, despite the current UN
embargo, or have their contracts terminated. Rashid reportedly
issued the ultimatum when he was questioned in parliament about
the companies' failure to meet their contract obligations.

In 1997, Baghdad signed a contract with a consortium of Russian
oil companies led by Lukoil for the development of the Qurna oil
field in southern Iraq, and another with China National Petroleum
Company for the development of the Ahdad field, also in southern
Iraq. Additionally, a Russian delegation is scheduled to visit
Baghdad this month to discuss a number of other contracts signed
before the imposition of UN sanctions. Iraq has also signed
letters of intent with the French oil companies Total and Elf,
though Rashid refrained from making similar threats toward them.

UN sanctions, in place since Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait, ban
investment in Iraq. And while both Lukoil and China National
Petroleum Company initially agreed to carry out their contracts
regardless of the embargo, they have since decided to abide by
the sanctions until Russia and China succeed in convincing the UN
Security Council to lift the embargo. However, it is not simply
a matter of independent companies trying to avoid overstepping
their respective governments' foreign policies. Both Lukoil and
China National Petroleum Company -- with controlling interest
held by their respective governments -- are willing agents of
their governments' foreign policy. In April of this year, Russia
used Lukoil to pressure Lithuania, which has been moving to free
itself from dependence on Russia for energy. Rashid's comments,
therefore, were not directed at Russian and Chinese businessmen,
but at the Russian and Chinese governments -- ostensibly Iraq's
supporters in the UN Security Council but apparently, in
Baghdad's view, insufficiently enthusiastic backers.

The UN Security Council met June 21 to discuss the embargo
against Iraq, though it made little progress on the issue.
Russia and China have submitted a draft proposal, calling for all
sanctions against Iraq to be lifted if Iraq submits to a new arms
monitoring commission. France, which initially backed the
Russian-Chinese proposal, has submitted a variation on the plan.
Talks are deadlocked, however, as the U.S. and Britain support a
British-Dutch draft proposal that would lift the embargo on Iraqi
oil exports provided Iraq submits to stringent disarmament and
revenue control measures. Iraqi Foreign Minister Mohammed Saeed
al-Sahhaf has rejected the British-Dutch plan, charging that it
would effectively render Iraq a colony.

With little hope of a resolution of the Security Council's
deadlock, Iraq has decided to test the anti-Western mettle
demonstrated by Russia and China during the Kosovo crisis.
Baghdad is gambling that Moscow and Beijing, having established a
precedent by opposing U.S. and NATO action against Yugoslavia,
are now prepared to deepen their rift with the West by opposing
the U.S. led campaign against Iraq. That is a big gamble. While
Russia and China are unequivocal in their opposition to U.S.
global hegemony, they are not set in their strategy or timetable
for opposing the U.S. They will get plenty of diplomatic miles
out of the confrontation over Kosovo, as they extract concessions
in return for "moderating" their policies. To force the issue in
Iraq actually limits the options available to Moscow and Beijing,
as it solidifies their diametrical opposition to the U.S.,
perhaps earlier than they are able to fully perform this role.

Baghdad may have assumed too much in attempting to force the
Russian and Chinese hands, but it still has options. First, Iraq
is unlikely to completely lose the backing of either country, but
particularly Russia, by presenting this ultimatum. Moscow needs
a portal to the Middle East, and with Iran competing with Russia
for influence in Central Asia and the Caucasus, Iraq is a prime
candidate. Furthermore, Iraq still has European countries -- and
their oil companies -- eager to do business. France may still be
able to cut a worthwhile deal with the UN.

Still, Baghdad's attempt to exploit the post-Kosovo political
climate is interesting, and likely will not be the last such
attempt. Russia and China, who have talked about opposing the
U.S. for the last few years, now appear nearly ready to actually
do something about it. Within this evolving dynamic, a host of
peripheral countries will attempt to position themselves, build
alliances, and extract concessions. Let the wheeling and dealing
begin.




To: goldsnow who wrote (12641)6/22/1999 11:06:00 PM
From: George Papadopoulos  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 17770
 
The KLA freedom fighters....doing what they do best

Elderly Kosovo Serbs killed in Prizren
=============================

22 June, 1999
Reported by BBC Ceefax

Two elderly Serb civilians have been killed in their
homes in the southern Kosovan town of Prizren.

The deaths -- of a man and a woman -- were
confirmed by German KFOR troops.

The attack is said to have been carried out by
Kosovo Albanians armed with an axe. The bodies
were badly mutilated when German troops found
them.

Earlier, Serb sources said the bodies of six Kosovo
Serbs kidnapped by the KLA near Obilic had been
found.

Fears grow after four brothers are murdered
==================================

22 June, 1999
By Andrew Buncombe
The Independent
independent.co.uk

THE bodies of the four Serbian brothers were found early yesterday in
the village of Gracanica, near Pristina. They were hidden in woodland
just a few hundred yards from where they had been tending their
animals.

Zivojin, Zivko, Trogan and Dimitrice Simic were in their fifties. Each
had been stabbed - in the heart, in the kidneys or in both.

"I didn't see anything. We just found them this morning," cried their
younger brother Milos. "They had been stabbed - ripped open.

"Now I am not scared, I am really scared. These were innocent people."

Mr Simic said he had not seen his brothers abducted or murdered. Nor
had he seen the killers when they dumped the men's jackets and walking
sticks at the end of the track which led to their bodies.

Yet he had no doubt who was responsible for these killings in the
hamlet of Slivovo, next to the village of Gracanica, which the locals
say is 100 per cent Serb.

"It was the terrorists - it was the KLA," he said. He said all Serbs
were now frightened of being attacked.

Yesterday afternoon a unit of Royal Artillery, which has taken over
the police station in Gracanica, was preparing to take the bodies into
Pristina. The Royal Military Police have launched an inquiry ,though
no one is holding their breath.

"There is a large number of KLA in Slivovo," said Lt Charles Taylor,
whose men were wrapping the bodies in blankets and placing them in a
truck behind him. "They were not mutilated but they had been stabbed
in the heart or in other organs. One of them had his arm broken in
three places.

"There is not a lot we can do now. We're just trying to keep the
peace."

The villagers are not convinced. Murders such as these are exactly
what the Serbs of Kosovo have been afraid of ever since Nato took
control of the province.

"Your British soldiers do nothing," said one villager, Novica
Markovic, the local representative of the Serbian Renewal Movement.

"When they first came I was quite confident, but now I am not. I do
not think the British want to protect us."

(c) Copyright. Published by Independent Newspapers (UK) Ltd




To: goldsnow who wrote (12641)6/23/1999 9:27:00 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17770
 
Goldsnow-the-strategist,

How about bringing this Kosovo upheaval back into the larger Mediterranean picture? Here's a good analysis:

oneworld.org

Extract:

Northern European Perceptions of the Barcelona Process

Richard Gillespie
Professor of Iberian and Latin American Studies. Leader of the Mediterranian Research Group. University of Portsmouth.
Revista CIDOB d'Afers Internacionals, No. 37, 1997


[...]
It is important at the outset to acknowledge that it is not easy to discuss the northern European states en bloc. They have differing levels of interest, and different interests, in the Mediterranean and by no means always do they agree on what should be done there. France, which in the present context must be considered both northern and southern European, has had the most extensive involvement in the area in recent history, but British involvement has been substantial, too. Although a certain deference to France has existed in the formulation of EC Mediterranean policy (at least until the present decade), French policy towards Algeria has been the subject of a restrained controversy in northern just as in southern Europe. Virtually no other country expressed solidarity with the hardline policy advocated by the former interior minister Charles Pasqua, which sought a military triumph over the Islamist insurgents. France subsequently criticised Germany, Britain, and the USA for being excessively ‘liberal' in their treatment of ‘fundamentalist' refugees (Spencer, 1996a: 137-8; The Times, 27 January 1995). It is also true to say, notwithstanding traditional Anglo-French regional rivalry, that historically the northern European countries have shown interest generally in different parts of the Mediterranean, and that the broad tendencies in the present century are for France to be preoccupied with the Maghreb, Britain much more with the Middle East, and Germany (in peacetime) with Turkey and the Balkans.

Of course, one also needs to differentiate when discussing southern European perspectives on the Mediterranean (Gillespie, 1996: 204-5). Nonetheless, so long as the appropriate qualifications are made, it is legitimate to focus on northern (or southern) European countries collectively when considering the prospects of the Barcelona process, for in the past (at least) there has been a clear north-south difference with regard to EU member-state preferences vis-à-vis European support for North Africa. As one newspaper succinctly put it, ‘In the case of North Africa, south Europeans tend to stress the need for financial support, knowing this would come mainly from northern Europe, while north Europeans stress the importance of market access, knowing that it is south European farmers who would suffer most from north African competition' (‘South of Europe', Financial Times, 27 November 1995) (1). These differences were visible even during the gestation of the Euro-Mediterranean Global Partnership, when during internal EU discussions about the guidelines for negotiating the new association agreement with Morocco the northern European states wanted to give commercial concessions to certain Moroccan food products while the southern Europeans maintained that aid should be used to help Morocco become self-sufficient in food: in other words, Morocco should be encouraged to meet domestic requirements rather than export more to Europe (Marquina Barrio, 1995: 49). While this kind of divergence has been much reduced and the discussion now hinges more on an aid/trade ‘balance' than on stark alternatives, the claim that the aid versus trade dilemma has been resolved through the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership is surely something of an exaggeration. Although a compromise was reached and approved at Barcelona, lingering northern and southern preferences remain as a backdrop to future decisions on disbursements under the MEDA programme and to the overall development of the partnership project. It is possible also that as the Barcelona process unfolds, northern/southern European divergence may become a feature of other discussions, including possibly the ‘postponed' debate about political change in North Africa.

[...]

The North's approximation to the Mediterranean

Before expanding on some of these points, it is worth considering how and why northern European countries have become more interested in the Mediterranean in the 1990s. For although it is true that there is still something of a ‘tendency in northern Europe to see Mediterranean co-operation as an unnecessary luxury' (Hooper, 1995), this tendency has been in decline in the 1990s, as the EU's demonstration of unity at the Barcelona Conference indicated. Certainly, northern European countries were responsible for reducing the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership funding package –from the original Ecu 5.5 billion sought by commissioner Manuel Marín to Ecu 4,685 million– by arguing in favour of trade concessions and emphasizing the role of the private sector in providing investment funds (Spencer, 1996b: 9). However, in agreeing to this package they were making an increased commitment of resources to the Mediterranean; in effect, they started to contemplate Europe's relations with its southern neighbours on a much more long-term, open-ended basis than ever before.

What brought about this change in northern attitudes was essentially a combination of events and trends in the southern Mediterranean and political lobbying by southern Europeans. The northern Europeans' recognition of instability in the area is not new: conflicts in the Middle East formed the backcloth against which new uncertainties arose as a result of the end of the Cold War. The main catalyst of European attention in the early 1990s was the outbreak of violence on a huge scale in Algeria following the suspension of the electoral process in 1992. The Islamist challenge in Algeria and signs of unrest in other Arab countries led some northern Europeans to give expression to phobias about ‘Islamic fundamentalism', best exemplified by former secretary-general of NATO Willy Claes's controversial statement about the phenomenon being ‘at least as dangerous' as the former Soviet threat. However, many northern Europeans have shown the same healthy scepticism as Mediterranean states have in rejecting Huntington's thesis about a “clash of civilisations”. The predominant response has been that the Islamists may threaten certain Mediterranean regimes but do not constitute a direct threat to Europe (2).

Nonetheless, there has been a growing awareness in northern Europe that the conditions that have fuelled the radical Islamist movements are not part of some distant overseas malaise, rather that these conditions affect the European Union as a whole. From initial perceptions that the problems of North Africa affected only certain EU member states (mainly those bordering on the Mediterranean) there has been a gradual realisation that the Maghreb, in particular, is of importance to the entire European Union (Mortimer, 1994: 120; House of Lords, 1995). Various European countries, north and south, have experienced the problems of North Africa indirectly through, for example, receiving immigrants and refugees, the appearance of Islamist terrorist groups or support networks and the arrival of new drug-trafficking cartels (Spencer, 1996b: 6). It is worth noting in this context that, during the EU association agreement talks with Morocco, both the Germans and the Dutch voiced complaints about the number of illegal Maghrebi immigrants (Hooper, 1995).

[end of extract]

According to the above excerpt, the dismemberment of Yugoslavia could be interpreted as a successful attempt by Germany to secure a geopolitical access to the Mediterranean.... As Derek put it: we're back in the Bismarckian Age!

Anyway, Algeria might be NATO's next bete noire.... at last!

Regards,
Gustave.