To: Jenna who wrote (46576 ) 6/27/1999 1:07:00 AM From: Jenna Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 120523
What traders might expect next week and in the coming weeks: Well its pretty obvious that there will be a rate hike and I'm already looking towards the relief rally that I expect to ensue. This relief rally should prove to have 'enduring' strength because of the coming earnings season. A strong economy translates into very good earnings so I would expect a good few days, then perhaps a sell off into profits leading to around July 7 when the nets begin reporting and July 14, when the season heats up to boiling. Now clever traders should utilize the next 4-6 weeks to make as much money as possible and possibly gear up for the coming easing up in August and possibly more volatility in September. For the financials I would focus on PVN, COF, MWD, NDB, AXP, FBG, ITG. A few banks like FTU and BAC. Those I'm following right from the get go on Monday through Wednesday. FDX, an earnings play, could also have some more upside. The next sector I'll be watching after the financial are the 'first tier' internets, especially CNCX, ELNK, YHOO and MSPG.. and my favorite sector of all and the one where I have had the weight of my intermediate and long term portfolio resting for the past 14 months. ::: Telecommunication services and equipment sectors . Also interested in Media, Advertising, Automakers , .. and of course you can't have a good earnings season without the retail sectors. Those are enough to watch in the next 6 weeks and we have been diligent in finding our 'plays' in this sector and getting scores of earnings dates in the past week. Chipmakers, electronics and software always have a good place in the season as well as I'm expecting more gains from the likes of QLGC, ERTS, LGTO and VTSS.. So lets put on our seat belts, and be ready for a nice ferris wheel ride up... with of course the occasional ride down. But nothing is certain in these trying times so be prepared to be a 'Chameleon' and don't fight the trend next week, but go with the flow. Be prepared with stops and try not to be distracted by anything other than pure analysis.. Now I have seen that although LEN had blow out earnings the stock did not move and this means that even though earnings might be good in certain sectors, it will not necessarily translate to increasing stock prices. LEN is moving now so it might just be a delayed reaction, but we have to see what happens when 2 of our other earnings plays: DHI and TOL report to draw any real conclusions of how raising rates might effect that sector.. But if you follow some of our past earnings plays like ORLY, BBOX, FOSL, LLTX you will see that ultimately there good earnings were actualized in higher stock prices.