MARKET INDEX LABORATORY, Tuesday, June 29, 1999
INDEX Pr Cls Open High Low Close Change %Change 12MO HI 12MO LO
THE MAJORS
DOW 10,655 10,655 10,815 10,634 10,815 + 160 +1.5% 11,107 7,539
SPX 1,331 1,331 1,351.5 1,328 1,351 + 20 +1.5% 1,368 957
OEX 680 680 691.5 678.5 691.5 +11.5 +1.7% 691.5** 471
RUT 448.5 448.5 454.5 448.5 454 + 5.5 +1.2% 464 310
TRAN 3,397 3,397 3,411 3,375 3,409.5 +12.5 +0.4% 3,784 2,345
UTIL 323 323.5 323.5 321.5 322.5 - .5 -0.8% 334 272
VIX 22.56 23.50 24.06 22.71 22.99 + .43 +1.9% 48.56 16.88
TECHNOLOGY/SEMICONDUCTOR/SOFTWARE
COMP 2,602.5 2,603 2,642 2,594 2,642 +39.5 +1.5% 2,652 1,419
NDX 2,244 2,244 2,280.5 2,193 2,280 + 36 +1.6% 2,280** 1,129
MSH 1,110 1,110 1,136.5 1,108 1,136.5 +26.5 +2.4% 1,139.5 480
PSE 577 577 591 576 591 + 14 +2.4% 591** 278
SOX 459.5 459.5 475.3 459.5 474 +14.5 +3.1% 477 190
CWX 759.5 759.5 777.5 752.5 777.5 + 18 +2.4% 777.5** 399
INTERNET/NETWORKING
DOT 582.5 583.5 601 577.5 596.5 + 14 +2.4% 790 144
IIX 297.5 297 304 294 303.5 + 6 +2.1% 358 97
GIN 461 461 479 456 474.5 +13.5 +2.9% 667 114
NWX 560 560 574.5 559 574 + 14 +2.5% 582.5 232
BANKS/BROKERAGE/RETAIL/CONSUMER/DRUGS/CYCLICAL
BKX 872.5 871 883.5 870.7 881.5 + 9 + 1 % 932 592
XBD 413 413 421 411 421 + 8 + 2 % 530 149
RLX 903 903 920.5 901 920.5 +17.5 + 2 % 966 588
CMR 545 545 553.5 543.5 553.5 + 8.5 +1.5% 574 444
DRG 353 353 361.5 352 361 + 8 +2.3% 425 304
CYC 588 588 592 587 592 + 4 +0.6% 619 392
OIL/GOLD-SILVER/COMMODITY
XOI 494.5 494.5 501 493 501 + 6.5 +1.3% 526 377
OSX 72.5 72.5 75.5 72.5 75.5 + 3 +4.1% 92 47
XAU 63.5 63.9 65.2 63.2 65 + 1.5 +2.3% 87 49
CRX 209 209 212.5 208.5 212.5 + 3.5 +1.8% 229 149
30 YR. BOND YIELD
TYX 6.095% - 6.108% 6.095% 6.057%
MARKET INDEX LABORATORY, June 29, 1999 (PAGE 2)
MISCELLANEOUS INDICES
AIRLINES/TOBACCO/CHEMICAL/INSURANCE/YEAR 2000
XAL 165 165 165 164 164.5 - .5 -0.1% 204 116
TOB 294 294 294.5 290.5 291 - 3 -1.1% 326 236
CEX 501 501 505.5 499 504 + 3 +0.5% 547 402
IUX 646.5 646.5 649 642.5 649 + 2.5 +0.4% 710 471
YTK 204.5 204.5 209 203.5 209 + 4.5 +2.3% 237 144
***PLEASE NOTE***Market builds on yesterday's gains as it
climbs the wall of worry with imminent rate hike. More solid gains
and new highs across the board. tomorrow could be last straw for
Bears as capitulation and buying spree took control in final 45
minutes of trading. Evidence all but overwhelming as OEX, NDX, PSE
and CWX register new all time closing highs.
Not far behind is COMP, SPX, DOW and RUT. OEX Put/Call ratio was .97.
This is respectable given the last two strong days run-up. Anything
below .80 two days in a row or more means full capitulation and some
ensuing profit-taking to shortly commence. Maybe investor sentiment
report needs to see not 65% Bulls but unheralded 70% Bulls before the
market ends run for roses. In any event, Yesterday was the uppercut,
today is the right hook. Bears trying to get off the canvas again.
One more left hook would finish the Bear and knock him out.
Best, J.T.