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Gold/Mining/Energy : Harken Energy Corporation (HEC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Richard Mazzarella who wrote (4447)7/2/1999 4:58:00 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5504
 
Richard, for the record, after trying for the last few days to buy at $1-5/8, I yielded this morning at put a bid at 1-11/16. It got filled.

I realize that HEC has still quite a number of hurdles, not the least of them is financing (remember it took more that a year before Arakis finally gave up on raising $200 MM for their share of the capex), but here the situation is slightly different, I hope. I am pretty sure that they will avoid another floorless, and the next "floorless" does not become effective for some time. In the meanwhile, they are adding reserves, they might even be in a position to start and pumping a little stuff.

From a technical point of view, it looks like a saucer bottoming, we have not made a new low for quite some time, and we can claim to be at a double bottom (1-5/8) which was first reached last May. The interesting story is that money flow kept improving while the stock came back from 2-3/8 down to 1-5/8, a divergence indicating to me money is coming into the stock in "stealth". The OBV is also in positive territory since the rally of last May. And yesterday I had a Buy signal on the MA convergence/divergence. So, I will take a risk here and hope for a break above 2-3/8. If we break through that I would not be surprised to see a fast run to the $3.25 area, or almost a double bagger from here. I am out if we close under 1-9/16.

Zeev