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Technology Stocks : Altaba Inc. (formerly Yahoo) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gary Wisdom who wrote (22582)7/7/1999 7:47:00 PM
From: Typhoon  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 27307
 
I shorted 5 yhoo july 180 calls for 5 3/4 naked just
because I think the internet bubble has burst and that
somewhere in here the run up in these stocks will end
and you will have a classic head and shoulders top. Although
there were some cautious words about the earnings I think
the internuts had a good rally and day traders were starting
to feel like the good old days were here again.
So my assessment is that the numbers were in line with
expectations, obviously the street puts out conservative
numbers to pump up their clients and more importantly to
insure against 1 cent misses that can kill a stock. YHOO
did not blow away numbers. In fact there seems to be evidence
that numbers are boosted by geocities and not generic
growth, which appears to be slowing, and may not support
the 46 billion dollar market cap this stock has. Trust me,
I think the internet is huge, I just think things are getting
maniacle.
I guess I got the idea from a client who wanted to buy
calls in front of the earnings. However the premiums were so
obscene he passed. This suggest tremendous optimism, which
have been met by good but not blow out numbers. I figure the stock
trades up a bit, as every cnbc viewer hears they beat estimates
and I'll short more in the 175 area, then look for the stock to
maybe lose upside momentum. Upside risk I see to 190, downside
160, selling 180 calls for 5 3/4 today and more tomorrow at 8
could be a great, but dangerous trade. More unspectacular earnings
and particularly if stocks do not respond well to good numbers
may get me to start buying out of the money puts on yhoo, amzn,
egrp, amtd, nite, and aol.
Everyone thinks the market goes higher-problem.
Everyone thinks yields are topped out now that the fed has tightened-problem.
People are buying lots of calls, and the vix (volatility index)
is 20 and its a clear sale at 18.
Too much complacency.
Just my opinion. BUY EMC or NOK to make money on the internet.
Huge rev, great growth, data storage and wireless internet access
you can take to the bank. Just my humble opinion.
Good luck too all. It just feels like a bubble and I been through
these before.



To: Gary Wisdom who wrote (22582)7/7/1999 10:19:00 PM
From: Spangle  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 27307
 
Stuff it Gary,

If Yahoo goes up, it's because they are manipulating the financials and metrics. why is it that no one will acknowledge that KOOGLE LIED about the Geocities page views. Geocities was doing more than 60 million page views per day. Maybe 70!

If you subtract the GCTY traffic, Yahoo did less than 247 million page views per day in June by itself, up from 235. That means they grew a measly 5% sequentially in traffic AT BEST.

What other numbers are they fudging??? How long can Yahoo pretend to be the dominant leader. They suck at just about everything they do except for chat, games, and email. Is that worth $50 billion???

Shorts will win once the SEC starts doing their job and cracks down on the financial games an reveals Yahoo for what it is.

Yes, I am short. And you are blind.