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To: Think4Yourself who wrote (47614)7/8/1999 7:53:00 PM
From: Tomas  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Another factor that makes it difficult to forecast oil prices is that there is
very little consensus on just how much excess oil there is out there. A
recent Canadian Energy Research Institute report, for example,
mentions what is often called the "missing barrels" phenomenon. Given
current estimates of world production, there should be about 675 million
barrels of oil in storage in various places -- but energy forecasting
agencies say they can only account for between 175 and 300 million of
those excess barrels.

As the CERI report outlines, there are two schools of thought on the
discrepancy: one is that it arises from accounting errors on the part of
bodies such as the International Energy Agency, and therefore is a
figment of their imagination. The other camp believes that the barrels are
real, and that there is an overhang of between 300 million and 500
million barrels remaining unaccounted for, a stockpile that could
seriously affect prices.

From today's Globe and Mail: "Is oil price euphoria overdone?"
Full article:
globeandmail.com