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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Teflon who wrote (27030)	7/21/1999 1:39:00 PM
From: johnd	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 74651

Teflon, PMS, Uncle Frank, T2000, Morgan, and others: Here is history over the last 3 years for MSFT price behavior from summer peak. It may or may not repeat. But it likely might. Year July Peak Second Half Low Dec31st close ==== ========= =============== ============= 1997 153 117 (-23% from july) 130 (-15% from july) 1998 120 88 (-29% from july) 139 (+15% from july) 1999 100 ??? ??? My prediction for 99 second half: 1999 100 76 (-24% from July) 100 (0% from July) What are your feeling?

To: Teflon who wrote (27030)	7/21/1999 3:09:00 PM
From: William Hunt	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74651

Teflon --- On the tracking stock issue would Brad Chase to be the one to discuss the spin off or would it wait for the question and answer session at the end ? Sure hope it is not the CEO Maffei that will explain that issue . If MSFT earnings are to only to grow by less than 10% next year then the stock is definitely overvalued . I know it right to be cautious with investors but you should also give realistic expectations for guidance . Otherwise why buy the stock if cannot trust what management saying ? BEST WISHES BILL