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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hawkmoon who wrote (37716)7/24/1999 5:32:00 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116764
 
I have another question.

Here we have all of this discussion of the FED raising rates this fall and the US economy teetering on the edge of overheating as Asia recovers and Europe shows its economic strength.

But on the other hand we face all of these dire reports referencing how Y2K will cause a deep recession and drastic disruption and slowdown of business activity around the world.

The choices are:

An overheated US economy where the Fed has to contain domestic economic growth with higher rates.....

Or a sharply contracting economic environment where the appropriate response would be a lowering of rates in order to stimulate growth.

I just don't get it. How can both scenarios co-exist??

Which is it?

Or were Greenspan's comments and tone being directed at another audience across the seas??




To: Hawkmoon who wrote (37716)7/24/1999 5:32:00 PM
From: Ahda  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116764
 
Quite i think we are going to be in mess. What in my opinion will happen is the pegging of currency is going to drive us all bats between derrivative plays and financing .

I see this more realistically than gold moving because of a world economic crisis and lask luster dollars because of the present pegging situation

I dont think in this time period we will see all countries economies fall so that all currencies are found stressing for value and gold shines.

This is what i worry about.

You might have a reverse situation where the importers are crying like crazy and the exporters demanding blood.

The drop in the baht created heck for Japan and the drop in the dollar will create heaven for many debtors but God forbid what it could create for us.



To: Hawkmoon who wrote (37716)7/24/1999 8:56:00 PM
From: long-gone  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116764
 
<<During the '29 crash, did gold hold it's value because of the crash.....,
.... or because it was linked to the US dollar at a specific exchange rate??>>
Ah yes, chicken & egg, which came first.
Have you ever read "Capitalism: The unknown Idea"?
Chapter 6 - author Alan Greenspan, sees it the other way, gold's store of value supported the $ via it's nature based scarcity.