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To: Rarebird who wrote (37846)7/26/1999 11:25:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116796
 
rarebird:

I suspect we will have a bounce soon (probably tomorrow) but agree we seem to be in the very early phase of a real bear market.

A key factor distinguishing bear markets from panics like we had last fall is that bear markets start slowly, last awhile, and experience a final climatic selloff after a long painful decline. So do not expect the Dow to drop 18% in 6 weeks like last year. But perhaps 30% over 6 months with lots of rallies on the way down to keep hope alive.



To: Rarebird who wrote (37846)7/27/1999 2:30:00 AM
From: Bilow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116796
 
Hi Rarebird; I haven't run into you in a while. I remember back when I was convinced that the end was near many months ago, you suggested waiting longer.

If you're seeing a major market top, I am worried...

-- Carl