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Biotech / Medical : Neurobiological Tech (NTII) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Apache Indian who wrote (624)7/29/1999 12:46:00 PM
From: BRAVEHEART  Respond to of 1494
 
Hi Apache Indian,

My target of $2.25 is a minimum. If we get a Pharma collaboration in line with expectations $2.25 is a no brainer based on volume & trading behavior of this stock. I pegged TGEN at $2.50 as a no brainer the other day. It hit $2.75. I thought an upside was $3+ at TGEN and I still believe their collaboration was that significant. Hence the markets do not always react in accordance with added value. But it is predictibale in how it will minimally see a situation. Hence my low ball estimate. I agree it could send it to $2.75 to $3.25 but that all depends. Now of course if we are discussing value year end post collaboration & P-2 results on the many clinicals. What 5 for memantine. Yes then $2.25 is a laugh. I would say $3.25 minimum and $4.25+ would not be out of the question. So please don't be discouraged by that amount.

BEST WISHES
Jeffrey



To: Apache Indian who wrote (624)7/29/1999 1:26:00 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1494
 
Recent losses have sobered me up quite a
bit...oh I still have a chunk of NTII...but
I've halved all my positions. I was feeling
pretty good a couple weeks ago...account was
at a new high, Ariad had stopped going down...
then WHACK! (biotechs cooled off)
WHACK (magn's pex not approved)
WHACK (aria resumed it's decent).

A couple more hits like those and I'll be down
to even for the year...well, I had to take steps
to prevent further losses.

If I have to go into hiding...perhaps snag
some daytrading gains from a few momentum plays,
so be it. I'd like to have held on to full
positions in Mike's Microcap Madness...but
it was just time to retreat and regroup.
Market is a bit shaky--clearly that is true
today...and I'm happy I raised cash yesterday.

That said...NTII is bucking the trend...so that
is good, and I'm glad for you fellas, heck, on
a down day my account is actually up a couple
percent. But mainly I just feel much less confident
than I felt a couple weeks ago--sheepish might be
the right word.



To: Apache Indian who wrote (624)8/2/1999 11:07:00 AM
From: BRAVEHEART  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1494
 
Buyout

Hi Apache,

I never see that as a near term event. NTI is essentially welded to MERZ. I suppose MERZ could be a contender but I don't see where it would be to NTI's advantage to sell unless it could do so in a competitive arena. That arena does not exist IMO.

The good side is up-side. NTI was rumored to have a buyout offer a year ago of $1.75...That clearly would remove all risk & settle once & for all anyones interests here. But today $1.75 looks pathetic given NTI's leverage relationship with MERZ. Sure the risk still exists but the upside is better than ever.

I still am digging around the issue as to how NTI is still operating. Funds ran out in June. Here we are in Aug. This is why I am expecting some sort of low risk announcement on funding. Remember the prior funding involved the likes of A Rock. We moved from .50 to $1.5 in a few days time. Could this recent volume be based on some sort of funding announcement. Did we miss something. Last time Bloomberg carried this news. Anyone check Bloomberg lately?

Also MERZ should get it's data this month. Logic has it that Pharma has been waiting on this data to partner. I don't know how long it takes to quantify & qualify such data for a significant understanding. My guess is this will finalize the needed leverage for a Pharma deal. Of course this depends on the data.

John do you have any insights on this matter? Should we anticipate results in Aug or Sept?

My guess is this leverage could open up new negotiations as well if the results are steller. I still see this as a win win situation for NTI shareholders. It is not company specific. Yet it has the potential to enhance leverage. If it is a no go then we still have NTI's clinical data in the Fall.

BEST WISHES
Jeffrey