To: J. Conley who wrote (14819 ) 8/3/1999 12:15:00 AM From: Sector Investor Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 42804
<<This company is not "new" and carries with it Cabot, possible accounting irregularities, the secondary which had no follow-through, and many many burned investors (and some analysts) who previously believed in management and what they had to say." <<If you are new to this stock and wonder why it trades at 15 in light of its great prospects, Dana and his like are part of the answer. >> I think you are quite right - there IS a lot of baggage. But let's examine your points more closely 1) Cabot letter stock. So what? Was this MRVC's fault that they got hyped higher than could be sustained? You can pick any one of a dozen "Internet" stocks and see the same thing. This was before I was around, so I missed this. Ask DeeJay though for his thoughts on this, as he was there. 2) possible accounting irregularities. Even when Pink was here, NOTHING - not one fact was ever proven. There was LOTS of talk though, rumors of SEC investigations, etc. MRVC stated in their 10-K and in several CCs that the SEC had NEVER contacted them. The worst they can be accused of was being aggressive (but completely legitimate) in their accounting - along with a hundred other companies including CSCO and LU. When the SEC later changed their rules, MRVC VOLUNTARILY went back and adjusted 2 back quarters to follow the new rules. To me that is squeaky clean. The "irregularities" exist only in the minds of people who never bothered to look closely - or want to use it as a short ploy. 3) the secondary which had no follow-through: What exactly do you mean by that? That the stock declined from $39? The secondary was in September, 1997. What exactly is it that management failed to do here? They still had 4 quarters of increasing earnings (Q3 1997, Q4 1997, Q1 1998, Q2 1998) after the secondary - and the stock declined further after each one. 4) and many many burned investors (and some analysts) who previously believed in management and what they had to say." OK, you got one. MRVC screwed up by giving a rosy Q2, botching the Q3 earnings warning, and not telling us earlier the cost of the spending spree that they were about to go on, hiring staff, building foundrys, acquiring startups and developing new products. But you know what? Looking back on it, I don't think they even knew themselves. Up to that point they were a "lean and mean" niche player. Well, that means they didn't have the infrastructure (staff and internal systems) or Executive Information Systems (EIS) providing them with the information they needed to know those impacts. I believe that they never INTENTIONALLY mislead anyone - they just didn't know, as they had NEVER missed before in 8 1/2 years. Did we get hurt? Yes, indeed. I still hold a few thousand shares with an average of $21+ (IRA, couldn't take a tax loss). But I didn't whine about it. I bought more under $6. Then I bought a plane ticket to Chatsworth last October for the annual meeting, and went to look for myself, saw the products, talked to management, toured the facilities, etc. Then I came back and took my tax losses. And then I bought still MORE in December. Counting all my trading gains, my net cost is now about $7. <<But it's all different now..... right? >> It's getting there. I still would like to see Noam move to COO and have MRVC hire a new CEO that knows how to work the street. Elsewhere, there are improvements, prospects and opportunities everywhere you look. The trouble with people like Dana is that they hurt themselves letting emotion color their decisions without looking closely at the data. Don't mistake my bullishness on this stock as emotion. I am dead serious. I invest based on facts - every fact and trend I can find, and I do extensive analysis and synthesis. The market has SEVERELY undervalued MRVC - so much so that a 10-bagger from the lows in 3 years is quite possible ($50). I am not "in love" with MRVC. I am "in love" with the profit opportunity here presented by the market. I plan on riding this stock until it is approaching full value - about the time Merrill Lynch upgrades MRVC, and then exit. Meanwhile the skeptics will watch because they remain "unconvinced" and others will continue to whine. That is their right.