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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (22489)	8/9/1999 11:49:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Respond to of 99985

There is much bearishness that a dead cat bounce may make the perfect setup for the end of the week. I am buying more treasury strips today. I anticipate that after August 24 1/4 point raise and a market slide bonds will rally. they priced in around 3.25% inflation and the bills 0.25% rate hike. BWDIK Haim

To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (22489)	8/9/1999 12:34:00 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

Bearishness is a bullish indicator and vice versa. These days the market seems to almost always fool us. AT the peak of pessimism it rallies and over-optimism brings a sudden fall. Use your heads everyone. Either stay out of the market now or place your bets with true value in mind, that is earnings growth and rock-bottom prices. What is rock-bottom? Use your own judgement. I see many bargains now and have bought recently. There may be a small amount of downside but I do not believe, looking around the world, that there is any boogey man out there to crash the market again. But I am wary. I believe there's a better chance for rallies now than sizeable dips. Or we could just trade sideways until after Greenspan raises or doesn't raise again, at which point we should see more rallies into September. October is a jinx month but the market could fool us again. - Every time I've heard people predicting endless corrections it means we're at a bearish climax and the market is ready to rally again. Remember, buy when no one wants to buy and sell when no one wants to sell. The trick is to pick that bottom (and that top).