MEA CULPA
I am usually pretty thorough in doing research on the companies that I intend to invest in.
Yet, I egregiously missed an important piece of information that I found out only now thanks to the link Joseph provided:
<<On October 8, 1998, our Board of Directors approved a program to repurchase, over a period of up to eighteen months, up to 3 million shares of our outstanding Class A common stock up to a total aggregate amount not to exceed $20 million. On July 21, 1999, our Board of Directors cancelled the repurchase program. We did not repurchase any shares under this program.>>
I missed this. I was unaware of the fact that the program was cancelled.
This is totally my fault and a terrible oversight for which I must take full responsibility. As an investor, it is my duty to be aware of all developments which might affect the value of my investments. The fact, that I missed this, pains me a great deal - I did not see it in any news release, and I should have dug deeper.
I now believe that this must have at least partially contributed to the weak price performance of NITE recently, and to the impunity the shorts felt.
I am not going to argue over the advisability of cancelling the program. I am sure the company can claim that they need the capital for expansion etc., and can use it more productively. While I take full responisbility for my bad DD, I wish management had made the announcement of this cancellation a bit more prominent. As it is, I made a fool of myself mentioning the program for the past few days, but that's all my fault.
Further, to first establish a purchase program, and then cancel it, does not inspire my confidence in management. I in no way blame them for my own faulty DD - this has nothing to do with it. But to me, regardless of what anyone says, it means one of two things: in effect management is sending a signal to the market that they will not defend their shares; or they are poor at the very JOB OF MANAGING - in this case, managing shareholder value - if you know what you are doing, and need the capital, why did you establish the program in the FIRST PLACE? And what took you so by surprise that you now cancel it? Either - or. To manage, is to anticipate. At the very least, to me they did not anticipate well. To see the massive insider sells coupled with the program cancellation leaves a bad taste in my mouth - though I acknowlegde their right to do so.
Speaking for myself however, I have lost faith in management. I said a few days ago, that how management treats shareholder value, is very important to me - it is not good enough, as in a private company to simply "take care of business" and the value will take care of itself. The companies in which I *invest* (as opposed to trade) for the long term, the attitude is very different - it is very explicitly focused on that value, IN ADDITION to building value through building the business.
Accordingly, I will now look to exit my longer term *investment* positions in NITE. This is not to say that I now think the shares will not appreciate. They can appreciate 1000% in 6 months for all I care. This is beyond that. I will trade this stock. But I will not be an investor. To me, this is not an issue of whether the stock will be profitable long term - I expect, and hope it will be. But for my *long term* investments, I need more than "appreciation" - I need to feel that management is fanatical about shareholder value explicitly, in ADDITION to being fanatical about building value through building the company business.
This is a personal decision, driven by my personal criteria. These may not be valid to anyone but myself. However, if I do announce them publicly, I do so, because I have been so public about my investment in this stock to begin with.
I do not mean to imply that this is not a good stock, a good company, or a good investment.
I offer my sincere apologies to the board, if by my posts, I have led anyone to establish a long position in this stock, and perhaps lost money.
This looks to have been the bottom, at least short term, so my looking for an exit, is obviously not driven by purely monetary considerations. And it should not be taken to encourage anyone to base their investing decisions on my actions.
Again, my profound apologies.
Regards,
Morgan |