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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Oblomov who wrote (66220)8/15/1999 11:08:00 PM
From: PaperChase  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 132070
 
>>What would need to happen to convince you that the bull market had ended?<<

Actually that is an "in the box" question but I will answer it anyways.

Certainly interest rates and inflation would have to rise more than they have...much more. But it won't. Greenspan is the bull and the most he will raise interest rates is .25 for the REMAINDER of the year. The so called inflation reports are rigged anyways based on how inflation is counted.

While interest rate and inflation watching are important to the 20-something journalists that spew their garbage articles, it is the pros like me that understand that it begins and ends with the banks and their lending. (Inflation and interest rate watching are important, there is just too much focus on these reports considering the benign environment.) If the Comptroller of the Currency starts cracking down on the banks be it in derivatives exposure or other areas like consumer lending, then the party is over.

But a true "out of the box" question would be phrased: What will need to happen for you to buy more and increase your positions amid recent positive earnings reports?