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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: PaperChase who wrote (66261)8/16/1999 2:41:00 AM
From: JF Quinnelly  Respond to of 132070
 
And what if long term interest rates are rising due to market demand?
Greenspan could keep his rates right where they are, but long rates will react to the demand for money regardless of what the Fed does. Inflation isn't the only input driving up interest rates.



To: PaperChase who wrote (66261)8/16/1999 6:44:00 AM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
<it is the pros like me that understand that it begins and ends with the banks and their lending. >

Are there potential paradigm shifts to watch for that might portend an endogenous end to the bull? For example a pull back in lending due to companies reduction in investment [credit demand] creating a SOFTER job market in the mid-upper range. Or perhaps a pullback in lending due to further default increases that seem to be going parabolic?

DAK




To: PaperChase who wrote (66261)8/16/1999 8:58:00 AM
From: Oblomov  Respond to of 132070
 
But a true "out of the box" question would be phrased: What will
need to happen for you to buy more and increase your positions amid
recent positive earnings reports?


Fair enough. Lower prices would help. -g-

To be serious, however, I think that most stocks are overvalued at
this point. I hold some CNXT, JDSU, and ASA but would be willing to
part with them if they weakened. I am sitting on a large cash
position, and would accumulate stocks such as HIFN, HLIT, and RFMD
on a pullback. Software and computer services stocks such as NETA
and CHRZ look attractive here - I may pick up some shares in the
near future.

I am looking for an entry point in the high 60s to short GS.

AA