To: Father Terrence who wrote (52040 ) 8/19/1999 12:59:00 AM From: jbe Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 108807
99% or 66%? There seems to be quite a range of opinion on this subject. I couldn't resist running a quick web search to determine where that 99% number actually came from. Well, I did not find the original source, but I did discover that the number has currency in academic circles. The following, for example, comes from a course outline of a college-level course in Invertebrate Paleontology: Estimates calculated from the fossil record suggest that 1 to 3 billion species have existed since the beginning of life-somewhere between 3 and 30 million species exist today-therefore >99% of all species that have ever existed are extinct-all species go extinct eventually; the average fossil species lasted a few million years-the rate of origination slightly exceeds the rate of extinction (by less than 1%), which accounts for the existence of life through time. earth.rochester.edu On the other hand, we have the American Museum of Natural History -- surely a reputable source -- coming in with 66%. This is from a description of a special exhibit on extinct species: Extinction is a natural process and some two-thirds of all animal species that existed have become extinct. Recent extinctions, however, are occurring at an unprecedented rate, and most not from natural processes, but as a result of human activity. Hunting, destruction of habitat, pollution, systematic extermination, introduction of foreign species and disease are the engines of extinction. It is predicted that by the 21st century 100 species will disappear daily. nimidi.amnh.org So, it looks to me as if the question has not been settled once and for all. Edit: Just noticed that the AMNH number refers only to animal species. Don't know whether they would say the same for plant species.