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Technology Stocks : 2000: Y2K Civilized Discussion -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jeff Mizer who wrote (353)8/19/1999 6:34:00 PM
From: Ken  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 662
 
Fuller story:the Naval document:the coming catastrophies for my sleeping, hostile polly friends.

I will be laughing last by this time next year! that will be the only thing I or anyone else will be laughing about then.

<<<
August 19,1999

Secret Government
Study Reveals Massive
Y2K Problems in
American Cities

***
Supposedly a secret document from a
June 1999 Navy Department assessment
report titled, "Master Utility List"
has been leaked to Jim Lord (http://www.jimlord.to)
a retired Naval Officer with 24
years active service. Accordingly
he must have had an inside source
for this information.
Given his background, it is more
than likely he is a straight-shooter
and this report is credible and
accurately representative of this Naval
Report. (http://www.jimlord.to/SecretSurvey.cfm Click here
to see it)

The results are horrifying.
They expect more than 26 million
American citizens in 125 cities
to be without electricity, water, gas
or sewer services next
January, and 44 cities where
"total failure is likely"
in one or more of the above
sectors. <P>


How many days could New York City survive without
water and sewer services? How long would it take to
evacuate eight million people in the dead of winter?
Would thousands die in the process? Tens of
thousands? More? When would the rioting and looting
begin? How many National Guard troops would it
take to control the largest city in the nation? What
unthinkable devastation would be wrought on the
global financial system? How might our enemies seize
on the ensuing panic and confusion?

Are these the crazed speculations of a Y2K alarmist?
Not if you know what the US Navy and Marine
Corps know. According to a June 1999 report titled,
"Master Utility List," they believe "total failure is likely"
for New York City's water and sewer systems
because of Y2K problems.

And they're holding this information back.

The Navy Department assessment is not limited to
New York City; it covers all their shore facilities in the
world-nearly 500 locations. The results are horrifying.
They expect more than 26 million American citizens in
125 cities to be without electricity, water, gas or sewer
services next January. Many more would be affected
in foreign countries. London, England for example is
expected to experience failures of all four types of
utilities. Many of the people impacted by these failures
would be military personnel and their families.

And the Navy Department isn't telling anyone.

Forty-five of the cities named in the survey have
population greater than 100,000. Eight of the nation's
dozen largest metropolitan areas are af-fected. Here's
what the Navy expects:

Dallas-no water.
Washington DC and Philadelphia-no gas
Baltimore, Houston, New York and Miami--no
water or sewer.
Atlanta-no water or gas
San Antonio-no water or electricity.
Fort Worth and New Orleans-no water, gas or
sewer services.

And the Navy Department is saying nothing.

Cities at Risk

The information presented below is based on a US
Navy/Marine Corps survey dated June 1999. The
survey was conducted to determine the risk of utility
failures at military facilities worldwide. Only United
States information is shown.

Each of the three tables below shows a list of cities
and the Y2K exposure of the major utilities in each
city. The columns labeled E, W, G and S refer to the
Electrical, Water, Gas and Sewer utili-ties. An "x" in
the column indicates that utility is expected to fail. To
view expanded information on each city including the
names of specific utilities, visit www.JimLord.to on the
web.

Three levels of possible failure are indicated in the
Navy document. Each table in this summary lists one
of these levels.

1) Partial failure is probable.
2) Partial failure is likely.
3) Total failure is likely.

The terms "probable," "likely," "partial," and "total" are
Navy terminology and were not clearly defined in the
documentation. The terms "likely" and "total" however,
represent the worst condition.

Cities in bold have populations greater than 100,000.
Many of the utilities listed service many more
customers than shown here.

43 cities where "partial failure is probable."
(Note: Click on this link to see which paricular
utilities--electric, water gas or sewage is at risk; many
cities are expected to have all four fail.) City:

Amarillo TX
Annapolis MD
Arlington VA
Avoca PA
Baton Rouge LA
Bethesda MD
Broussard LA
Carderock MD
Charlotte NC
Columbus OH
Corpus Christi TX
Crane IN
Dallas TX
Dayton OH
Duluth MN
El Paso TX
Forest Park IL
Greensboro NC
Highland Park IL
Houston TX
Ingleside TX
Key West FL
Knoxville TN
Lewisville AR
Lexington Park MD
Millington TN
Mobile AL
Montgomery AL
Newport News VA
Norfolk VA
Pascagoula MS
Peoria IL
Philadelphia PA
Portsmouth VA
San Antonio TX
Sheboygan WI
Sugar Grove WV
Truth or Conseq. NM
Tulsa OK
Washington DC
Waukegan IL
West Palm Beach FL
Yorktown VA

38 cities where "partial failure is likely." City:

Albany GA
Atlanta GA
Atlantic Beach FL
Augusta GA
Beaufort SC
Bessemer AL
Bossier City LA
Cape Canaveral FL
Charleston SC
Chattanooga TN
Clearwater FL
Columbia SC
Columbus GA
Fort Lauderdale FL
Fort Worth TX
Greenville NC
Gulfport MS
Harlingen TX
Hawkinsville GA
Hollandale MS
Jacksonville FL
Kingsville TX
Meridian MS
Miami FL
Milton FL
Nashville TN
New Orleans LA
Orange City FL
Orlando FL
Panama City FL
Pensacola FL
Raleigh NC
Slidell LA
Smyrna GA
St Marys GA
Sullivans Island SC
Waco TX
Wetumpka AL

44 cities where "total failure is likely."
City:
(Cities in bold have population over 100,000)

Baltimore MD
Bethlehem PA
Bremerton WA
Brunswick ME
Buffalo NY
Coronado CA
Dahlgren VA
Earl NJ
Erie PA
Fallbrook CA
Glen Falls NY
Great Falls MT
Hartford CT
Huntington WV
Imperial Beach CA
Kearney NJ
Lakehurst NJ
Mechanicsburg PA
Morehead City NC
National City CA
New London CT
New York City NY
Newport RI
Oak Grove NC
Oak Harbor WA
Ogden UT
Pacific Beach WA
Plaineville CT
Pomona CA
Port Hadlock WA
Port of Seattle WA
Portsmouth NH
Providence RI
Quantico VA
Reading PA
Reno NV
Rochester NY
San Jose CA
Seal Beach CA
Trenton NJ
Warminster PA
Watertown NY
Weymouth MA
Williamsport PA

Implications

1. One need not be even a mild "doom and gloomer"
to realize that failures of the magnitude indicated in this
Navy Department study are po-tentially catastrophic.
The lives and health of millions of people are at stake.
The national economy is threatened. Our way of life is
jeop-ardized. The national security is at risk.

2. That the government is withholding this in-formation
from the American people seems to me a monstrous
abandonment of principle. Each of these military bases
has a commanding officer. For large bases this is
typically a Navy Captain or a Marine Colonel. These
military leaders have raised their hands in the air and
sworn an oath to support and defend the Constitution.
(I recall this oath clearly having taken it several times
during my own naval career and having administered it
numerous times during reenlistment ceremonies.)

How can these commissioned officers remotely
imagine that keeping this information from the citizens
of this nation is in any way upholding their duty? I have
no doubt they have been instructed by higher authority
to maintain silence about these Y2K risks. How can
they look themselves in the mirror each morning and
con-ceive that what they are doing is right?

These commanders report to a chain of com-mand of
Admirals and Generals culminating in the Joint Chiefs
of Staff. How can these so-called "public servants"
know that 26 million citizens are in such jeopardy and
remain silent?

In the simplest terms-I stand bitterly ashamed of my
former comrades. I cannot conceive of a blacker mark
on the military leadership of the na-tion.

3 The government is holding out on its own people.
The Navy uses a special message called an "ALNAV"
(meaning all Navy) to communicate information to all
naval personnel at once. On February 10, 1999, the
Secretary of the Navy re-leased such a message telling
all officers and enlisted personnel they had nothing to
worry about from Y2K. The message identifier is
SECNAV 101715Z FEB 99. Here's a quote,

"Speculation that power distribution systems will
experience widespread failures are not based on facts
or rational analysis. . Most experts be-lieve water
treatment and distribution should not be greatly
affected by the Y2K problem. . Be-cause of
extensive preparation, the effects of the Y2K bug will
be minimal on the lives of you and your family."

Perhaps the Navy Department had not yet com-pleted
their facility Y2K assessment last February when the
ALNAV was promulgated. Now that they understand
their Y2K exposure, I wonder when they will let all
those sailors and their fami-lies know about the
anticipated utility failures? After all, the first line in the
above mentioned ALNAV states,

"It is important that we provide our sailors with sound,
useful information on the potential impact of Y2K on
their personal and professional lives, as well as the
lives of their families."

I retired from the Naval Service in 1983 but I still hold
a commission as a regular officer. I am still under oath.
In "my" Navy, the highest unwrit-ten duty of a Naval
Officer was to take care of his people. This bit of
traditional wisdom is apparently little practiced today.
To each of the Naval and Marine Corps Officers who
has had access to the information described herein, I
lay down a simple challenge. Live up to this duty.
Come forth. Tell us the truth.

4. If we're being lied to about this, how can we believe
anything the government tells us about Y2K? How
bad is this thing really going to be?

Impact on Military Readiness

These revelations imply a severe effect on military
readiness in the United States and at sev-eral
important locations overseas. In this country, for
example the major Marine Corps bases at Quantico,
Virginia and Camp LeJeune, North Carolina are
expected to experience utility failures. The latter is of
special personal concern-my son and his family are
stationed there.

Another essential but not widely appreciated Marine
Corps facility is at special risk. The base at Albany,
Georgia is the hub of all USMC logis-tics activities.
The inability of this base to provide services would
pose a devastating threat to the entire US Marine
Corps. Albany is one of three unfortunate cities
expected to have utility failures in all four
areas-electricity, water, gas and sewer.

The US Navy expects serious problems as well. The
extensive complex of facilities at their primary
east-coast port at Norfolk/Portsmouth, Virginia is
projected to be without water or natural gas. The
Navy Space Command at Dahlgren, Virginia; is in
jeopardy. The Naval Air Stations at North Island,
California; Whidby Island, Wash-ington, Cecil Field,
Florida; and Pensacola, Florida are at risk. The key
submarine bases at Kings Bay, Georgia and New
London, Connecticut are on the list. The latter is
another of the three state-side locations expected to
have failures of all four types of utilities.

The facility at Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania is also of
special concern. Much of the US Navy's logistics
support is conducted at this base which is expected to
see both gas and sewer failures.

Overseas, critical bases at Rota, Spain; Si-gonella and
Naples, Italy; (headquarters of the Mediterranean
(6th) Fleet); Bahrain; Guam; Puerto Rico; and
Okinawa are impacted. Of the ten facilities listed in the
United Kingdom, all (mostly in London) were
expected to experience failures of all four utilities.

Electric Utility Failures Somebody needs to let the
North American Electric Reliability Council (NERC)
know about the Navy study. For their benefit and
yours, here is a list of 29 electrical utilities the Navy
expects to fail. Read over this list carefully. Some of
the Navy facilities are quite small but the electric
company that provides their service has a very large
customer base. If your electrical company is included,
you need to raise hell with them and find out if they
know how the Navy feels about them.

Electrical Utilities Expected to Fail

Baldwin EMC, Milton FL
Bessemer Utilities, Bessemer AL
Central Louisiana Electric, Slidell LA
City of Albany GA
City of Key West FL
City Public Service Board, San Antonio TX
Clay Electric Cooperative, Jacksonville FL
Coastal Electric Members, Jacksonville FL
Daviess Martin County Rural Elect, Crane IN
Dayton Power & Light, Dayton OH
El Paso Electric Co., El Paso TX
Escambia River Elec Co., Milton FL, Pensacola FL
Florida Power and Light, Canaveral FL,
FtLauderdaleFL
Florida Power Corp, Clearwater FL
Gulf States Utilities, Orange City FL
JEA, Atlantic Beach FL, Jacksonville FL
Knoxville Utilities Board, Knoxville TN
Middle Georgia Elec, Hawkinsville GA
Mississippi Power and Light, Gulfport MS
Northeast Utilities, New London CT
Orlando Utilities Commission, Orlando FL
Port of Seattle WA
Riviera Utilities, Milton FL
Sierra Electric Cooperative, Truth or Conseq. NM
South Central Power, Columbus OH
Southern Pine Elec Coop, Milton FL
Southwest Arkansas Electric, Lewisville AR
Southwest Louisiana Electric, Broussard LA
Southwestern Public Services, Amarillo TX
Twin County Electric, Hollandale MS

Gas Company Failures

This is a list of forty gas companies
the Navy Department expects to fail.
Some of the cities mentioned are quite
small but the service area for the
utility mentioned has a very large
customer base. Check this list carefully
to see if your gas company is included.

Gas Utilities Expected to Fail:

Alabama Gas Corp, Bessemer AL
Atlanta Gas Light Co., Atlanta GA
Baltimore Gas & Electric, Annapolis MD
Boston Gas, Weymouth MA
City of Albany GA
City of Bethlehem PA
City of Bossier City LA
City of Buffalo, NY
City of Great Falls MT
City of Pascagoula MS
City of Pensacola FL
City Public Service Board, San Antonio TX
Columbia Gas of Virginia, Portsmouth VA, Quantico VA
Dayton Power & Light, Dayton OH
Energas Co, Amarillo TX
Interenergy Corp, Charleston SC
Knoxville Utilities Board, Knoxville TN
Louisiana Gas Service, New Orleans LA
Mobile Gas Service Corp, Mobile AL
Mountaineer Gas, Sugar Grove WV
Nashville Gas Service, Nashville TN
New Jersey Natural Gas, Earl NJ
New York State El, New London CT
Niagra Mohawk, Watertown NY
NorAm Energy Management, Pensacola FL
North Carolina Gas, Morehead City NC
Northern Utilities, Portsmouth NH
Okaloosa Gas District, Milton FL
Orlando Utilities Commission, Orlando FL
PECO Energy, Warminster PA
Penn Gas & Water, Avoca PA, Williamsport PA
Philadelphia Gas, Philadelphia PA
Providence Energy, Newport RI
PSE&G, Kearney NJ
Rochester Gas & Electric, Rochester NY
UGI Corp, Mechanicsburg PA
United Cities Gas Co, Columbia SC
Virginia Natural Gas, Newport News VA, Norfolk VA,
Yorktown VA
Washington Gas Co., Arlington VA, Bethesda MD,
Carderock MD,
Lexington Park MD, Washington DC
West Florida Natural Gas, Panama City FL

Want to see these documents? So do I.
Here's what you can do: (Sample FOIA
Request) Name of Agency
Address of Agency
(See Below)

Re: Freedom of Information Act Request

Dear Sir:

This is a request under the Freedom of
Information Act.

I request that a copy of the following
document be provided to me.

"Assessment of the Year 2000 (Y2K) Risk
to Utilities at American Military Bases
and Facilities," (or a similar title).
This document lists military bases and
facilities in the United States and
foreign countries, the cities in which
they are located, and scores the Y2K risk
of failures to electrical, water, gas and
sewer services at each base. The names of
the utility companies providing these
services may be included. The document
may also be called a "Master Utility
List." The document should be available
from the Y2K Program Office for your
agency.

In order to determine my status to assess
fees you should know that I am an
individual seeking information for my
personal use and not for any commercial
purposes.

Thank you for your consideration of this
request.

Sincerely,

(Signature)

Your Name

(Send this letter to each of the
following agencies:)

Department of the
Army
FOIA/Privacy Acts
Office
TAPC-PDR-PF
7798 Cissna Road,
Suite 205
Springfield VA
22150-3197

Department of the
Navy
Chief of Naval
Operations
N09B30
2000 Navy
Pentagon
Washington DC
20350-2000

Department of the
Air Force
11CS/SCSR
(FOIA)
1000 Air Force
Pentagon
Washington DC
20330-1000

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