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To: Eric Wells who wrote (74708)8/19/1999 5:11:00 PM
From: Bill Harmond  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
I don't think Blodget covers eBay, but I think you're on the right track! Your variables stink, though, and nobody needs no stinking variables. :)



To: Eric Wells who wrote (74708)8/19/1999 10:49:00 PM
From: Dwight E. Karlsen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Eric, re >>Does Blodget use the auction count number in his FA analysis for determining market valuations and stock price targets of internet auction companies?

Something like:

[Number of Auctions (2,600,000)] x [Average current bid per auction ($0.01)] x [Number of investors that believe eBay's PE should be above 2000 (562,692)] = $14.63 billion - amazingly eBay's market valuation at the end of the day today.
<<

I think that is probably very close to the correct formula, but I think a better metric variable for that third item (Number of investors...) might be [Number of glass ashtrays and broken sofas sitting at garage sales all through the USA on any given day, all items of which e-bay "investors" believe will one day be auctioned off on e-bay (562,692)]. Amazingly, I come up with the same market valuation for EBAY as you did, using that variable as a variation on your formula: $14.63 billion.