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Biotech / Medical : LIPO-Liposome -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cheeseburger who wrote (781)8/30/1999 3:21:00 PM
From: KM  Respond to of 900
 
First day that I can remember that the money flow has been positive and there have been buy indications in IWatch. I bought a bunch at 20.5 Just saw a 50k buy at 20 3/4

But AVLN is still hanging around, shorting.



To: Cheeseburger who wrote (781)8/30/1999 3:35:00 PM
From: G-MAN  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 900
 
I am wondering if the market is pushing this stock back to a price that would fairly represent the value of this company with the approval of Evacet.

I read a H&Q report issued back in July and they mentioned that the current price of $18 (& some change) represented the fair value of LIPO with the Evacet approval. Without Evacet, they mentioned that $12 was a fair value.

They also mentioned that they reviewed the data provided by the company and see a strong case for recommendation. It is interesting that they see a positive light and this Avalon Group, that has been shorting the stock, sees it the other way.

Given this estimate, I am now wondering if we will see LIPO pull back to $16 to 18. With a positive recommendation, we might see the mid 20's for a brief moment. The price action of this stock is not acting as if:

A)a positive recommendation will be received, or
B)it is fairly valued as of this moment in time.

My guess is that the stock price is a little overpriced. For those of us who bought into the stock in the 20's expecting a price of $30 soon, we might be disappointed for the time being. For those who bought in the low teens, I see relatively low risk.

Are there any thoughts?