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Microcap & Penny Stocks : Globalstar Telecommunications Limited GSAT -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: djane who wrote (7029)8/31/1999 12:57:00 AM
From: djane  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29987
 
WSRN's Company of the Week Globalstar Telecommunication (NASD: GSTRF)
(via G* yahoo thread)
www1.wsrn.com

In June, 1997 investors snapped up a new issue of stock
from a company that promised to build a global mobile
wireless communications system. Iridium (NASDAQ:
IRIQE) -- which once sported -- a market capitalization of $11 billion -- filed
for bankruptcy earlier this month, despite backing from major companies like
Motorola (NYSE: MOT $91.0625). Just a year later -- July, 1998 -- investors
again welcomed a company, this time partnered with Hughes Electronics
(NYSE: GMH, $ 52.625), that promised to do the same thing. Last week, ICO
Global Communications (NASDAQ: ICOGF) also filed for bankruptcy court
protection. Is this the end of the line for a global wireless communications
system? Maybe not.

This week's Company of the Week is Globalstar Telecommunications
Limited (NASDAQ: GSTRF, $28.875), the only remaining non-bankrupt
competitor in the mobile satellite service market. Globalstar -- together with its
partner, Loral Space & Communications Ltd. (NYSE: LOR, $19.0625, is
nearly finished constructing and launching 56 low-earth-orbit communications
satellites and a network of earth based gateways that will facilitate any-time,
anywhere mobile communications on earth. If all goes as planned, the
Globalstar service will be available starting this October in the U.S. & Canada,
China, Russia, Argentina, Korea, France and South Africa. Loral owns 42% of
Globalstar.

Anticipating less competition, bullish investors have pushed GSTRF shares up
more than two fold since the low of $12.375 on March 29, although they
remain 22% off their $37 high of March, 1998. Apparently, investors are
convinced Globalstar will succeed where others have failed. In the case of
Iridium, obituaries point to both flawed technology and marketing. The
over-sized phones were said to be too expensive (around $3,000), the pricing
structure high and confusing and the system not fully operational. ICO's failure
may have been related to Iridium problems as investors sought to limit exposure
to this area -- ICO needs to raise $1.6 billion before it can start its service in
late 2000, a full year after GSTRF begins its roll out.

Bulls on Globalstar point to the fact that the company has already launched
enough satellites to begin service and that all 48 are expected to be in place by
year end if launches go well, that it already has agreements in place to market its
service in 120 countries, that it uses tested CDMA technology (see NYSE:
QCOM $183.75), and that near term financing is in place. Bears suggest that
the failure of Iridium is a clear sign that the market is not ready -- or, even
worse, does not need -- this technology. In addition, the Chapter 11 filings
might enable GSTRF's competitors to revamp themselves without the crushing
burden of debt payments.

Analysts anticipate that GSRTF can earn money before taxes, interest and
depreciation (EBITDA) with fewer than one million users, which they expect
within one year. Iridium, it should be recalled, failed to get even 20,000 users
against its guarantee to bondholders of over 500,000.

Analysts will get a better look at Globalstar's current position and strategy at an
analyst meeting scheduled for September 8-9. Will the service be priced and
marketed right? Does it work? Is there a need for it? Will Iridium -- as partner
Motorola suggests -- be restructured within 30 days? Is GSTRF a buy, sell or
hold? With WSRN's data center, BASELINE reports and extensive links you
should have what you need to make an informed decision.

WSRN.com, Wall Street Research Net ¸ Copyright 1995-99, Wall Street Research Net.