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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Challo Jeregy who wrote (24668)9/2/1999 11:40:00 PM
From: Zardoz  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
This what you are looking for?

ASIA FOREX -- Regionals head lower in thin trade

0150 GMT - Regional currencies were mostly lower in early Asia as the
dollar looked set to hold above recent lows after rumours of
intervention put pressure on the yen.

Traders in Tokyo said sentiment on the dollar was still bearish as
U.S. asset markets suffered under growing speculation the Federal
Reserve would hike interest rates again.

Rumours of dollar-supporting intervention swirled through the market
overnight on vague talk the European Central Bank had bought
large amounts of dollar/yen on the electronic brokerage system.

Dealers in the United States were inclined to dismiss the rumours, but
did note that this was a U.S. holiday weekend and that the
Bank of Japan had used such occasions in the past to intervene.

*** The rupiah was weaker in thin trade, though its decline was
expected to be cushioned by state bank dollar sales.

But trade remained quiet as dealers eyed escalating violence in East
Timor and the smouldering Bank Bali scandal.

Foreign journalists joined an exodus of panicked locals to flee East
Timor on Thursday amid widespread rumours that Indonesian militiamen
were going to target them.

Pro-Jakarta militias killed two locals working for the United Nations
(U.N.) on Thursday, one day after vote-counting for Monday's
referendum on independence got underway.

Indonesia, pressured by the international community to stem violence
in the former Portuguese colony, has hinted it would let a U.N. force
attempt to keep the peace.

The Bank Bali scandal took another turn on Thursday after a top
Indonesian council agreed to give parliament sweeping powers to probe
the case, which centres on a large fee paid by Bank Bali to a firm run
by a senior ruling Golkar official to recover loans.

The move gives parliament wide-ranging powers to investigate,
including questioning President B.J. Habibie over the issue.

*** The won opened weaker amid short-covering by local banks, with
dealers in Seoul saying the currency was likely to remain soft
throughout the day.

Also weighing on sentiment were concerns of a stock manipulation probe
into Hyundai group executives, which has fuelled share sales by
foreign investors.

Daewoo Group's debt woes were another factor dealers were watching,
with local newspapers reporting that Daewoo creditors planned to sell
their 16.5 percent share in Korea Merchant Banking, in which it holds
the largest share.

Separately, the Korea Herald reported the Financial supervisory
Commission chairman Lee Hun-jai as saying that Daewoo Heavy Industries
could be separated from the parent group within the month.

*** The baht was unchanged in early trade but Bangkok dealers said
they expected it to touch 39 per dollar amid commercial demand for
dollars and technical factors.

Dealers said the baht's recent drop to 11-month lows against the
dollar was due more to technical factors, such as offshore interest
rate arbitrage and Y2K concerns, than fundamentals.

But concerns about the troubled financial sector have also weighed on
Thai markets after Thai Farmers Bank said it could no longer support
its finance unit, Phatra Thanakit Co.

Bank of Thailand governor Chatu Mongol Sonakul said on Thursday that
his bank had no plan to intervene in the market to shore up the baht.

He also said the authorities might inject only up to six billion baht
of bailout funds into Phatra Thanakit.

*** The Taiwan dollar was slightly easier after central bank
intervention on Thursday capped its recent rise against the dollar.

Dealers said the central bank had intervened from time to time to
prevent sharp rises in the currency which can undermine the island's
export competitiveness.

Taiwan is due to release August inflation numbers on Monday.

A Reuters poll shows that economists forecast an average annual rise
of 0.2 percent for the August Consumer price index (CPI) -- below an
already slow 0.27 percent average shown in the first six months.

CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day#N/A N/AGMT
Currency...Latest bid....Prev Close....Pct Move
Ringgit.....3.7999.......3.8000.........0.00%
Rupiah......7800.00......7750.00.......-0.64%
Baht........38.76........38.80..........0.10%
Peso........39.81........39.76.........-0.13%
Sing dlr....1.6862.......1.6825........-0.22%
Taiwan dlr..31.780.......31.775........-0.02%
Korean won..1193.90......1190.00.......-0.33%
Japan yen...109.66.......109.25........-0.37%
Change since start of Asia crisis
Currency.....Latest......July '97......Pct Move
Ringgit......3.7999.......2.5200......-33.68%
Rupiah.......7800.00......2432.00.....-68.82%
Baht.........38.76........25.90.......#VALUE!
Peso.........39.81........26.50.......-33.43%
Sing dlr.....1.6862.......1.4300......-15.19%
Taiwan dlr...31.7800......27.7500.....-12.68%
Korean won...1193.90......842.00......-29.47%
Japan yen....109.66.......114.40........4.32%

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