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Biotech / Medical : CLZR:a potential 10 bagger? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: vestor who wrote (178)	9/5/1999 6:13:00 AM
From: John McCarthy	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 315

My estimate of Q1 Fiscal 2000 for the record. CLZR First Quarter - Fiscal Year 2000 Revenue and E.P.S. Estimate (Note:Revenue breakout for all periods is my best estimate) ----------------------------------------------------- Gross Sales Q1 - 2000 Q1 - 1999 ----------------------------------------------------- USA Regular 3,300 3,300 USA PSSI 4,150 0 USA Electrologists 0 0 USA Service 840 840 ----------------------------------------------------- USA 8,290 4,140 ----------------------------------------------------- Japan Regular 3,800 2,912 Japan Osaka 500 0 Japan Service 700 700 Hong Kong 0 0 ----------------------------------------------------- Japan 5,000 3,612 ----------------------------------------------------- Europe Regular 2,200 1,800 Germany 0 0 Europe Service 450 450 ----------------------------------------------------- Europe 2,650 2,250 ----------------------------------------------------- Brazil Regular 0 0 Brazil Service 0 0 ----------------------------------------------------- Brazil 0 0 ----------------------------------------------------- Other Regular 50 10 Other Service 10 10 ----------------------------------------------------- Other 60 20 ----------------------------------------------------- Lasers 14,000 8,022 Service 2,000 2,000 ----------------------------------------------------- Sub-Total 16,000 10,022 ----------------------------------------------------- Memo: GentlePeel 0 0 Skintonic 0 0 ----------------------------------------------------- Memo Total 0 0 ----------------------------------------------------- Product 16,000 10,022 Spa 800 716 ----------------------------------------------------- Gross Sales 16,800 10,738 ----------------------------------------------------- COGS - % 42 53 COGS - $ 7,056 5,674 ----------------------------------------------------- GM - % 0.58 47 GM - $ 9,744 5,064 ----------------------------------------------------- R&D 950 688 G&A 5,100 3,333 ----------------------------------------------------- TOE 6,050 4,021 ----------------------------------------------------- Operating Income 3,694 1,043 Interest Expense 0 78 Interest Income (150) (11) ----------------------------------------------------- Net (Inc)/Exp (150) 67 Other 0 (34) ----------------------------------------------------- EBT 3,844 1,010 ----------------------------------------------------- Tax Provision - % 0.20 0.10 Tax Provision 769 100 ----------------------------------------------------- EAT 3,075 910 ===================================================== Shares 8,200 5,566 ===================================================== E.P.S. 0.38 0.16 ===================================================== E.P.S. History ------------------------------ Q1-99 $0.16 Q2-99 $0.24 Q3-99 $0.31 Q4-99 $0.50 Q1-00 $0.38 If I am correct, trailing 12 months e.p.s. will be a hum - dinger. Misc: (1) Actual shares s/b closer to 8,100. (2) See Yahoo for Analysts estimates. (3) I posted $0.36 e.p.s. on the Yahoo board (Decaid) with a swing of 2 cents either way. (4) It is only logical that Service Revenues should rise (given the large number of lasers sold in 1999. Nonetheless, I am holding this number at last years $ i.e. hard spot). regards, John McCarthy