To: Michael who wrote (3437 ) 9/9/1999 12:06:00 PM From: Marconi Respond to of 10293
Hello Michael: GSTRF I agree there should be caution here. Generally with emerging technologies, the first market entrant does not make money at it, but the second is the one well over half the time. The difference is often in the choices made. The second entrant often makes much better economic choices for the new product. The cheapshot corporate angle then, is to not be first, but be the closest second while making the best possible choices for the new product and market. I know very little about CDMA. It seems important. If CDMA is superior to analog cellular telephony in use of bandwidth, and also integrates into satellite frequencies, then it may be possible for CDMA to have a portion of the cellular market if a handset and a satellite amount to a substitute for cellular towers containing older, lower bandwidth (hence more expensive per use) technology. An analogy could be the satellite TV dishes, versus cable, versus broadcast towers and the networks. There is a place for each of them. In this case there is the analog and digital telephony infrastructure (including Internet), cellular, and satellite (emerging). Iridium botched it with a bet your company proposition their clunk technology handset and network of satellites would be popular, while cellular telephones grew by leaps and bounds. Apparently from concept onward, it was all downhill for IRID. Certainly the very specifics of the marginal costs of the GSTRF framework are very important to whether they will emerge into a going concern with their technology or be a flop, too. From a technological point of view, GSTRF should be in the position to do it well enough to be viable. But I have not looked into the specifics, yet, to test that assertion. Best regards, m